September 7, 2010

How Government Dependency Threatens America's Freedom

"If one understands that socialism is not a share-the-wealth programme, but is in reality a method to consolidate and control the wealth, then the seeming paradox of super-rich men promoting socialism becomes no paradox at all. Instead, it becomes logical, even the perfect tool of power-seeking megalomaniacs. Communism or, more accurately, socialism is not a movement of the downtrodden masses, but of the economic elite." - Gary Allen, None Dare Call It Conspiracy, Concord Press, 1971

The Coming Crisis

By Jim DeMint
Originally Published on May 8, 2001 (Before the "War on Terror" Began)

My friends, I believe we are facing an eleventh-hour crisis in our democracy that demands our immediate attention.

By the next election, the majority of Americans will be dependent on the federal government for their health care, education, income, or retirement--at the same time the number of taxpayers paying for these benefits is rapidly shrinking. How can any free nation survive when a majority of its citizens, now dependent on government services, no longer have the incentive to restrain the growth of government?

As we all know, over the last 50 years, American attitudes have shifted from cherishing self-sufficiency and personal responsibility to craving cradle-to-grave security "guaranteed" by government. The result is that increasing numbers of Americans are dependent on government for their income, careers, health care, education, and other essentials.

Government benefits--once concentrated on "the needy"--now extend into middle- and upper-middle-class households, even as more and more Americans see their income tax liabilities decrease. Today, the majority of Americans can vote themselves more generous government benefits at little or no cost to themselves. As a result, most have little fiscal incentive to restrain the continued growth of Big Government and the entitlements it dangles before them.

Today, we will examine whether this is even a problem--especially during times of peace and prosperity [Editor's Note: this lecture was given on May 8, 2001] --and if so, whether or not our Republic can survive this state of affairs.

You might feel a little like one of my clients from my business days after I explained my proposal to help him develop a strategic plan for his company.

He said, "Let me get this straight: You are going to interview me, my management team, my board members, some of my employees, some of my customers, and research my competition, and then you are going to tell me what I need to do." I said, "That's right."

Then he said, "So you are going to borrow my watch and tell me what time it is, and then you are going to charge me $25,000." I said, "Yes, sir."
Much of what I'll be talking about you already know. But like pieces of a jigsaw puzzle, the whole picture isn't clear until you snap all the pieces into place. Whether you are a conservative or a liberal, I hope you will leave this lecture with a whole new perspective on the problems that face America and what we need to do about them before it is too late.

Before coming to Congress, I worked as a marketing consultant, and over my 25 years helping the private sector succeed, if there is one thing that I learned it is this: An organization's problems were almost always symptoms of a larger problem--difficulties often overlooked by employees and management. My challenge as an outsider was to look past the symptoms, shake things up, and find the root causes of problems; and almost without exception, the problems came from the organization's failure to remember its first principles--its original mission and vision, the very essence of what made it successful in the first place.

This is exactly what I've found here in Washington. Year after year, I'm afraid, Congress debates the mere symptoms while the larger, mostly ignored problems linger and fester in the soul of our body politic.

The blame does not rest solely on the left. It is true for conservatives in Congress as well. We think the problems are high taxes, too much spending, too much growth of government, too many government programs, too much government interference and control over individuals, families, and businesses. But these are just symptoms of more serious problems, which are all related to a loss of the American memory. As a result, in the words of Thomas Sowell, we've replaced what has worked with what sounds good, and we've forgotten what really makes America work and our liberty flourish.

Are We Really the Land of the Free?

No one will argue that America is synonymous with freedom. The right and the left agree that our freedom is unique--a successful experiment unmatched in the world's history. We share a belief that freedom is what makes America strong and successful, peaceful and prosperous, compassionate and competitive.

Defining this freedom is a difficult task. The authors of American liberty had little time to pen a strict definition; they were too busy living it out. But for our discussion today, I want you to consider this definition:

Liberty exists when individuals, endowed with unalienable rights and protected by the rule of law, have the ability to make their own choices in pursuit of a life that they value.
There are several key words that I would like you to consider.

  • First, that freedom is based on individual ownership, self-governance, and self-determination;

  • Second, the inherent rights of man that are unchanging and irrevocable;

  • Third, the ability for the individual's capabilities to act independently and responsibly, as well as an external support structure that fosters an individual's rights;

  • Fourth, the right for individuals to make choices and pursue their own happiness; and

  • Finally, value, an idea that F. A. Hayek understood well when he wrote, "A society that does not recognize that each individual has values of his own which he is entitled to follow can have no respect for the dignity of the individual and cannot really know freedom."
Individuals assigning value and determining their own destiny is what makes people free, and it is this exercise that strengthens the good citizen. I venture to say that most Americans believe that if government gives people adequate income, food, and shelter, then we've done a good thing. But people are not pets, and by making these decisions for people, we strip freedom from people.

This tyranny of good intentions disables citizens' self-determination and undermines their values, especially personal responsibility. Ultimately, it devalues their inherent worth as created in God's image. We risk, as Ronald Reagan warned, "treating them as helpless children to be forever dependent." Our guiding principles should be to help people by building their capabilities so that they exercise their rights to choose a life that they value.

Four Pillars of a Free Republic

The principles of economic freedom, social responsibility, spiritual faith, and limited government are the foundations of the American success story. The details may be debatable, but I trust we all agree on what I consider to be the four pillars of freedom.

These four pillars guided America's founding and led to the peace, prosperity, and liberty we enjoy today. Individuals determining for themselves how to value their choices in each of these areas was a principle written into the hearts of the American people. But much like the ancient people of Israel wandering through the desert in search of the Promised Land, we have struggled to retain the memory of our first principles, distancing ourselves from America's core beliefs. This American amnesia has caused great heartache and struggle as we try to make sense of the problems (or symptoms) now facing our citizens.

Allow me to briefly refresh our memories on the price and the value of freedom.

Individual decision-making about price and value is what holds all of our freedom in balance. In all four of these areas, when people believe that price equals value, then they are ready to exchange something they have or can do for something that they want. This exchange is what drives our republican government, our free market system, our civil society, and our spiritual lives.

Economic Freedom

In a free economy, individuals exchange valuable goods and services for market-determined prices. Sensible consumers buy when they believe the value is equal or better than the price.

When computers were first introduced, they were bought by large institutions like governments. They were as large as this room, expensive, complicated, and controlled by a few people. But when free-enterprise competition spurred innovation, computers became faster, smaller, and affordable. Computer manufacturers competing for millions of consumers keep the prices low, the value high, and the choices plentiful. Individuals decide if the value is equal to the price, and this constant tension between the buyer and the competing sellers keeps our economic system productive and in control. From Dell Computers to Del Monte foods, our freedom turns the wheels of the market, producing more affordable, quality, and plentiful goods.

But when external controls are injected into the free market system, problems develop. When the tax code made it easier for businesses than individuals to buy health insurance, we created a third-party system that reduced choices, increased costs, and ushered in government dependency. It virtually eliminated the price-value tension that keeps quality high and costs low.

Compounding the problem, Congress and its good intentions created a Medicare system that forces every retired American into government-run health care. The price is almost invisible to the buyer and fixed for the seller. Access is regulated, the delivery of health services is controlled by insurance companies and the bureaucrats, and individual choices are few and far between. We may still have the best health care, but we also have the most expensive health care system in the world.

Like P. J. O'Rourke said, if you think health care is expensive now, just wait until it is free. Smothered by government costs and paperwork, the pulse of freedom in our health care system is fading; and even today Congress is planning more government intervention to protect patients, since we've created a system that doesn't allow individuals to protect themselves in the first place.

Compare this to what has happened in a small segment of the health care industry: laser eye surgery. This procedure is paid for by individuals because it is not covered by insurance. Individuals make the price-value decisions. The technology has exploded forward; the costs have declined rapidly; the service now allows people to walk out seeing better within a few minutes.

The problem with distorting individual decision-making about the price is evident not only in health care, but with education, energy, and many government services that replace the dynamic of freedom. When the price is too low, the demand and the costs go up as the quality and the choices go down. The entrance of third-party control has broken down the delicate balance between the value of a service and the citizen's willingness to pay its price.

Social Responsibility

Similar to the economic freedom pillar, Americans also believe that the price of success and opportunity is hard work and personal responsibility. Recently, I attended a ceremony congratulating new American citizens. Their eyes gleamed with hope and promise. They believe that hard work and personal responsibility are the recipe for a free and successful life--and rightly so. When this price, as measured by the individual, is equal to the perceived value of freedom and opportunity, people work and take on increasing personal and social responsibility.

Before welfare reform, entire communities were ravaged by government policies that attempted to give individuals freedom and opportunity without asking them to pay the price. Not surprisingly, the demand for these benefits went up and the value of hard work and responsibility went down. Welfare encouraged an entitlement attitude. The government made millions of Americans "freedom disabled" because they lost the ability to attach a real value to freedom's benefits.

Creating freedom disabilities has a dramatic impact on the spiritual strength of our nation as well.

Spiritual Faith

While I don't want to get involved in a theological debate, we are much indebted to the historic spiritual dimension of America's freedom. America has generally advocated morality and sacrifice as the "price"--or payment--for being a good, compassionate, and worthy servant to one's neighbor. These beliefs fuel a commitment to charity and volunteerism, as well as a strong work ethic. Just as our government has institutional checks, individuals attaching stigma or favor to certain behaviors keeps our society in check.

Government and the media, however, have done much to discontinue the religious habits of old, as well as to replace faith-based community efforts of compassion and charity with ineffective government programs. As a result, the growth of dependency has decreased the citizen's desire to live an upright and responsible life. People who act in a socially destructive fashion--promiscuous sex, drug addictions, crime, etc.--generally feel no personal shame because there is no corporate rebuke. They often enjoy the same privilege of acceptance as those who live moral, decent, and responsible lives in the home, workplace, and community.

Sadly, destructive behavior often receives the winks and nods of government and media elites. With the death of outrage, people are given a free pass on the work and sacrifice traditionally necessary to achieve social acceptance.

When government begins to tamper with individual decision-making about the price and value in our economy, as well as our social or spiritual lives, freedom declines. But what are the factors that encourage government to expand outside its traditional limits and interfere with a free America?

It is the same root cause that diminishes freedom in the private sector: When the price of government declines, the demand for government increases. In other words, if you offer something for nothing, people will want a lot of it. And as a consequence, the government expands into the private sector and crowds out our freedom.
This leads me to define what I believe to be the coming crisis in America.

Limited Government

The demand by voters for more federal benefits is overwhelming and growing. Despite our best efforts, conservative lawmakers are like children on the beach trying to hold back the tide with sand castles. Unless we reduce dependency quickly and develop a tax code that makes the cost of government more visible, Americans will demand more and more from government, to the point where freedom will be no stronger than a flickering flame on a shrinking wick.

You see, our founders created a system where taxes are the price for government benefits and services. The American system of government is built on the premise that the voters will restrain the growth and expansion of government because of the personal cost to themselves in taxes. There must be this tension that balances the price and the value of government. But today, a near majority of voters pay little or no income taxes while they receive an increasing number of benefits from the government.

The extreme progressiveness of our tax code has reduced, and in some cases eliminated, the price of government for a growing majority of voters. At the same time, the number of voters who are dependent on the government for their income, their health care, and other government services has grown dramatically. As the price for government in terms of taxes has declined, the demand for federal benefits and services has increased. It's like handing someone a menu, telling them its covered, and then letting them order whatever they want. How could anyone refuse?

In my hometown of Greenville, South Carolina, the new school superintendent has called for a referendum to raise property taxes to pay for "better education." This would add about $60 a year to the taxes on a $100,000 house. Everyone wants better schools, but citizens are up in arms about the increase in taxes. Why? Because just about everyone pays property taxes on their homes or cars. They feel the cost of the increase.



The head of the local taxpayers association is attacking the increase; yet in a recent meeting, he asked me privately why I wasn't working to get more money from the federal government for school construction. In his mind, there is no conflict because federal money is free money to most voters.

Let's look at who's paying the costs of the federal government:

Fifty percent of Americans now pay less than 4 percent of the total individual income taxes, while the top 5 percent pay nearly 55 percent of individual income taxes. We now have a majority of voters that have very little incentive to restrain the growth of government. The price is low, so the demand for government services is high. We also have a small minority of voters who pay a high price for government with much less demand for services, yet they have a decreasing amount of political power to stop the growth of government.

At the same time, the folks who are paying the least for government are receiving the most benefits: Americans who receive nearly half of federal government benefits pay only 1 percent of the taxes. Many of these beneficiaries are poor, but an increasing number are middle-class retirees who are dependent on the government for their income and health care through Social Security and Medicare.

America's aging population, along with an increasing number of federal programs and subsidies, has resulted in a large and growing number of Americans who are dependent on the federal government for their income, their health care, housing, the education of their children, and other important benefits.

Government Dependency: Measuring the Past and Forecasting the Future

The Heritage Foundation and I are launching an ambitious project to create a tool that can measure and forecast dependency. We recognize that dependency is destructive to individual freedom and if it continues to increase, deadly to democracy. An Index of Government Dependency could give us a better idea of how much government is replacing individual decision-making and private-sector activity with government programs and control.

For the first time, we will be able to say not only that dependency exists, but just how corrosive it is to the foundations of a free society.

Based on preliminary projections, the index will show steady growth in dependency from the time of John F. Kennedy's election and dramatic increases under the Great Society programs of Lyndon Johnson. We can expect the final index to show us what happened under the limited government policies of the Reagan years and the entitlement reforms of the Republican Congress. And it will show us that dependency will continue to increase unless we give individuals more independence--especially in programs like Social Security and Medicare.



This dependence on government, along with the low cost to the beneficiaries, has dramatically increased the demand for government. This raises an important political question for conservatives in Congress. The dilemma is clear. If we fight to reduce government dependency by scaling back programs while making the tax code fairer and more visible, we are likely to lose elections because, as modern elections have shown us, candidates are engaging in an "I'll match you and raise you" and "Anything you promise I will promise more" political strategy. Asking dependent voters to vote for a candidate that promises to cut government spending makes as much sense as a valuable employee asking her employer for a pay cut.

This is what's happening. The loss of the price-value tension between the taxpayers and the government has created a large demand for more government. As government has expanded into the other spheres of freedom, the value of freedom in all areas of our lives has been reduced. More people expect government to pay the price and establish the values. This expectation has created a competing vision of America that replaces the principles of freedom with a reliance on government.

Partly by design and partly by circumstance, the American system grew up with the individual at the center, with the individual deciding about price and value in many different roles: as voter, taxpayer, citizen, seller, and buyer.


















When individuals are making price-value decisions, freedom works. But for many Americans, government is now seen as the hub or the manager of America's economic, social, and spiritual activity: Government or institutional control becomes a replacement for individual decision-making about price and value.

There has always been a price for freedom, and it is this price that gives freedom its value. America achieved such greatness because it was the only country in the world that let the dynamic of freedom work in all areas of the nation. Individual Americans had the freedom to assess the value and pay the price in all areas of their lives. This vision will still work if we let it, but few seem to understand why government has gotten out of balance, or even that we have a problem.

The crisis is creeping forward: Every day in America more people become dependent on the government, demanding more services and benefits, while every day in America there are fewer people paying the price for these services. The political power is shifting from those who pay taxes to those who receive the benefits. The number of Americans who are dependent on Social Security and Medicare alone will double in the next 30 years. These folks will not be voting for less taxes and less government, and they won't be voting for conservatives.

Many politicians have already figured out that dependency means more political power for them. Quite simply, a dependent voter is a dependable vote. A dependent America will vote for the politicians who promise the most from government and shift the cost to the "rich." But in the end, there is nothing compassionate about this massive disabling of Americans.



Turning the Corner: Stopping the Growth of Government Dependency

So what is the solution? First, we must admit that we have a problem. Liberals must recognize that we can't help people by making them dependent on the government, and conservatives must recognize that fighting the symptoms will not preserve our freedom. The Heritage Foundation's Index of Government Dependency will be an invaluable tool in educating Members of Congress, their staff, the public, and the media.

For my colleagues in Congress, I have a few recommendations:

We need to move from a government-owned Social Security system to individually owned retirement accounts. Americans who are secure, independent, and wealthy when they retire will want less from government, less taxes, and more freedom.

The same will be true if we reform health insurance in America to encourage individual ownership of health insurance policies. Americans who have their own health insurance in retirement are independent, and even if the government subsidizes the cost of premiums for the poor, the level of dependency is much less than the total dependency we now have under the current Medicare system.

On the other side of the problem, we must have a new tax code that allows all voters to see and feel the cost of government. Using the tax code to help low-income workers only disconnects them from the responsibilities of freedom. It would be far better to increase spending for programs that remove barriers, and enhance the capabilities and opportunities for the poor, instead of trapping them in dependency and insulating them from the cost of the government they vote for.
Friends, you came here today to hear about a coming crisis in America: The threat is subtle and creeping, discreet and easy to overlook. Unlike a foreign threat or internal discord, it is a crisis that, unless we sound the warning, will surface when it is too late to turn back.

Some of you may still be skeptical, but I have never seen a problem more definitive with results more destructive than the picture I have tried to fit together for you. It is that serious.

The divisions do not follow traditional Republican or Democrat lines. Liberals and conservatives who are truly interested in individual liberty, civil society, and sustaining the vision of our American experiment and its people should agree that we cannot allow this trend to continue.

Let's debate about how much the government should spend to remove barriers to freedom and to build the human capabilities necessary for our people to live free. But we shouldn't have to debate whether or not well-intentioned government programs should force people into a life of dependency. And we shouldn't have to debate the danger of sending voters to the polls who don't have any stake in the cost of government.

Our generation was given unprecedented freedom, opportunity, and prosperity. Few of us had to pay a high price for the freedom we enjoy, and perhaps because of that, we don't value it as we should. I think, for this reason, we are in danger of letting freedom slip away right in front of our eyes.

This sacred trust we call freedom, that was given to us by a generation that did pay a high price for it, must now be defended again not with bullets and bombs, but with vision and vigilance. Dependent Americans can easily be frightened and manipulated, and there seem to be few leaders who have the courage to tell them the truth.

The secret to freedom is courage. It is my hope that what you've heard today is a truth that few will have the courage to deny.

Jim DeMint, a Republican, has been a United States Senator from South Carolina since 2005. He previously represented South Carolina's 4th congressional district from 1999 to 2005.

September 5, 2010

The Left and Right Easily Will Be Merged into the Coming One-world Religion Under the Coming One-world Spiritual Leader

Glenn Beck Rally Set the Stage for "Christians" to Accept Paganism, and Mormons Say Beck Achieved the 200-Year Goal of Getting Evangelicals to Declare That Mormons Are Christians

Partnering with Beck in a spiritual enterprise would send the message that Mormons are Christians

By Brannon S. Howse, Worldview Weekend
August 30, 2010

I tried to warn evangelical leaders about Glenn Beck's rallies, but most of them laughed at me. Now Satan is the one laughing at them, as "Christians" run head-long into embracing non-Biblical theology and call it "Christian."

Greg West in the Mormon LDS Examiner validates my pre-Beck rally warnings to Evangelical leaders on my radio program, columns, e-mails, and phone conversations. Greg West writes:
As a Mormon, I have to consider an unintended message throughout Beck's work, which has culminated in this event. That message is: "Mormons are Christian believers." Despite nearly two centuries of misrepresentation and religious envy by sectarian Christianity, Beck has achieved the visibility and prominence; and he has had the time -- day after day, week after week -- to speak openly and truly about his core beliefs. Those statements of faith have disoriented and confused those who had previously believed the lies about Mormons.

Jim Garlow, a popular and influential pastor who partnered with the Mormon faithful in California to defend traditional marriage was quoted recently in CNN's Belief Blog, saying, "I have interviewed persons who have talked specifically with Glenn about his personal salvation -- persons extremely well known in Christianity -- and they have affirmed (using language evangelicals understand), "Glenn is saved... He understands receiving Christ as Savior."

Hallelujah! The light bulb has been switched on after nearly two centuries! Every single member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints believes that a person must be "born again" and receive Jesus Christ as his Savior and Redeemer. Our holy books teach that salvation comes only in and through the atonement of Christ and that there is no other way a person can be saved…Glenn Beck's beliefs are mainstream Mormon beliefs. Joseph Smith, the Church's founder, was a Christian prophet. He was an apostolic witness of the resurrection of Jesus Christ.
Notice that West admits that what Beck said on his broadcasts about his faith has "disoriented and confused" people who thought that Mormonism was not consistent with Christianity. However, Beck has now convinced them, with the help of America's Christian leaders, that Mormonism and Christianity are compatible.

The actor Kirk Cameron is the only one I personally know of that took to heart my pre-Beck rally warnings and reversed himself. Kirk really encouraged me when I needed it by calling to thank me for the column and sharing with me how it helped him understand why he must not take part in Beck's 8-27 event. Kirk even had the courage to come on my national radio program and speak about this issue publicly.

The irony is rather thick. Kirk played "Buck Williams" in the Left Behind movies. Buck was a famous secular journalist who became a believer and then set out to warn Christians not to accept the demonic spirituality of a one-world religion that was unfolding through national and international figures.

I believe what happened over the weekend was a seismic shift within evangelicalism: an historic event that will go unnoticed by most Christian leaders. A few leaders may eventually understand the nature of what happened, but it will be weeks if not months before they respond. Many of these leaders waited years to provide the defense against Oprah's pagan spirituality; and when they did, it was too late for many of the goats within their flock of sheep that had already consumed Oprah's spiritual poison.

Sadly, most Christian leaders and pastors are completely deficient in understanding the ideas and philosophies that have been, and continue to be, the force behind the rushing cultural stream. As a result, the members of their own congregation hear no advanced warning of the coming spiritual undertow, nor do they acquire the needed Biblical knowledge that keeps them from being children, tossed to and fro and carried about with every wind of doctrine by the trickery of men in the cunning craftiness of deceitful plotting (Ephesians 4:14).

The compromise by evangelical leaders and pastors -- by spiritually uniting with "all faiths" with the theme of "looking to the one god," as described by Beck -- has laid the foundation for untold numbers of self-professing Christians to now embrace pluralism and pagan spirituality. Pastors and evangelical leaders literally locked arms with all faiths, including Imams, in a spiritual endeavor despite the clear Biblical warnings of 2 Corinthians 6:14.

The Mormon Church is now rejoicing over the public relations success that these undiscerning evangelical leaders have handed the Mormon Church by uniting with Glenn Beck in the two events that were promoted as spiritual.

I believe that Beck does not only embrace the pagan spirituality of Mormonism but also Cosmic Humanism. Cosmic Humanism is known by most as the New Age Movement. Cosmic Humanism says that man is God. Mormonism says that man can become God. See the similarities? Before you react, listen to what Glenn Beck said on Fox News Sunday with Chris Wallace on the Fox News Channel. Glenn Beck said that his rally was not political, and the reason for his rally was because:
"There's nothing that we can do that will solve the problems that we have and keep the peace unless we solve it through God, unless we solve it in being our highest self. Be your higher self."
Beck used the phrase "higher self" three times in the interview with Chris Wallace. No one talks that way unless they know exactly what they are saying. One New Age website says:
"There are many great words to describe Who or What your highest identity or self truly is. Below are just a few: Higher Self, I am Presence, I Am That I Am…Cosmic Consciousness, God, Christ, Holy Spirit And the list goes on…"
Notice that "I AM THAT I AM" is another word for "higher self." Last week on his radio program Beck said:
"I AM THAT I AM is the most powerful phrase in any language, as it is the name of God; never use it in vain; use it to create who you want to be. I AM blank."
I AM is a title that is to be reserved for God Himself.
In Exodus 3:13, we read: "God said unto Moses, 'I AM THAT I AM:' and He said, 'Thus shalt thou say unto the children of Israel, I AM hath sent me unto you'."

In John 8:58 we read: "Jesus said to them, 'Most assuredly, I say to you, before Abraham was, I am'."

[Editor's Note: The expression 'I am what I am' used by Paul in the Bible is not the same as the expression 'I AM THAT I AM' used by God. The great apostle Paul said: "But by the grace of God I am what I am: and His grace which was bestowed upon me was not in vain; but I laboured more abundantly than they all: yet not I but the grace of God which was with me (1 Corinthians 15:10)" while "God said unto Moses, 'I AM THAT I AM;' and He said, 'Thus shalt thou say unto the children of Israel, I AM hath sent me unto you' (Exodus 3:14).]
"I AM" is to be reserved as a title for God, yet it is being blasphemed in the pagan practice of what is called "the law of attraction." In the book The Secret, that was promoted by none other than Oprah Winfrey, Rhonda Byrne wrote:
"The law of attraction is the law of creation….You create your life through your thoughts. [p. 15.]

"There isn't a single thing that you cannot do with this knowledge. It doesn't matter who you are or where you are, The Secret can give you whatever you want. [P. xi]

"With this powerful knowledge, you can completely change every circumstance and event in your entire life…" [p. 17]
The fact that people like Beck on the right and Oprah on the left are proclaiming the "I AM" message is a sign that we are living in the last days according to Jesus Himself in Luke 21:7-8:
And they asked Him, saying, Master, but when shall these things be? and what sign will there be when these things shall come to pass? And He said, "Take heed that yet be not deceived: for many will come in My name, saying, 'I am Christ;' and the time draweth near; go ye not therefore after them."
Former New Ager, now Biblical Christian, Ray Yungen writes:
Notice "Christ" is italicized in verse 8, meaning that it was not in the original manuscript. The translators of the King James Bible probably thought it awkward that it said "Many shall come saying, I am." Probably for the sake of clarity and to be consistent with Mathew 24, the translators added the word "Christ."
Did you catch that? Jesus was saying that when people say they are God by using the title "I AM" it is a sign that we are living in the end times. We are also told to run away from the people saying "I AM." Sadly, many of our nation's pastors and Christian leaders did not run from Glenn Beck, but ran to join him in a spiritual service and enterprise.

Beck on his radio program last week also declared,
"Hell is an eternity of regret, not being able to forgive yourself."
This is a completely unbiblical statement. Nowhere in the Bible do we see instruction to "forgive yourself," because it is impossible. 2 Corinthians 5:15 says,
"He died for all, that those who live should live no longer for themselves, but for Him who died for them and rose again."
Verse 17 is what brings me peace since I have repented of my sins and placed by faith and trust in the Jesus of the Bible.
"Therefore, if anyone is in Christ, he is a new creation; old things have passed away; behold, all things have become new."
Grace and forgiveness is provided to those who repent and, therefore, there is no need to believe the lie that you can "forgive yourself" of your sins.

Glenn Beck has accomplished what neither Oprah Winfrey nor Shirley McClain could. I believe that Beck uses his conservative veneer and doublespeak to co-opt leaders of the religious right. Beck and these evangelical leaders have sent the message that it is acceptable for millions of "Christians" to embrace humanistic spirituality and paganism for the purpose of social activism and social change. These pastors should re-read Luke 17:2, where we read:
"It would be better for him if a millstone were hung around his neck, and he were thrown into the sea, than that he should offend one of these little ones."
Beck has set the stage for "conservatives" to accept a one-world religion; and numerous leaders of the religious right pulled the ropes that raised the curtain on this ecumenical stage. Christian leaders that should have known better nodded in agreement and provided the backdrop as Beck preached his sermon of pluralism and universalism on 8-27 and 8-28.

Perhaps sooner rather than latter, the world will be in massive economic, political and spiritual chaos, and a leader will step onto the world stage; and this anti-Christ will call for the religions of the world to unite and embrace spirituality. He will declare that he is not about politics but about bringing peace, unity, faith, hope, charity, stability, freedom and prosperity under the common god of all religions. This world leader will perform counterfeit miracles, signs and wonders; and those who reject Biblical truth will follow him [2 Thessalonians 2:9-12] and embrace his plan for restoring honor.

If I had told you five years ago that a "conservative" radio and TV personality would have millions of viewers, would talk about the spiritual battle being waged in America, would be a self-confessed member of a cult, would quote New Age phrases, would call for Christians and conservatives to look to the "one god," would seek to unite all faiths and would convince dozens of evangelical pastors and leaders to support him in a spiritual service -- you would have said I was writing fiction and that this would never happen.

Do you now understand the magnitude of the spiritual shift that occurred this past weekend? The millions that see nothing wrong with the messages of Beck's 8-27 and 8-28 rallies reveal that the religious left and the religious right will be easily merged together in the coming one-world religion under the coming one-world spiritual leader as prophesied in Revelation 17:8

“I Am” Beckoning By Glenn Beck

By Don Koenig, The Prophetic Years
August 31, 2010

It is with mixed feelings that I am writing this post, because most of what Glenn Beck says is as American as American pie. Nevertheless, most Christians leaders so love the sugar in the American pie that Beck is dishing out that they are also gobbling down the deadly crust that molds it. When Glenn Beck stays on politics he is pretty good, but when he talks about God he is so far off the Christian reservation that he might as will be on planet Kolob (where Father God of Mormons lives).

First let me once again comment on Mormonism in general. Don’t be confused just because they use the same terminology as Christians. They do not believe the doctrines of Christianity. They just put their own meaning on common Christian terms. For example, don’t confuse God the Father of Christianity with Father God of the Mormons. The Father God of Mormons was once a man, just like us, who progressed to become a god before us. Don’t confuse Jesus of Christianity with the Mormon Jesus who is the spirit brother of Lucifer and a god in the making, like his brother. Don’t confuse the blood atonement of Jesus with the Mormon’s limited atonement that requires you to still work to achieve your godhood. Don’t confuse the Trinity of Christianity with the separate three gods of Mormonism.

In short, Mormons believe that there are many gods and that gods have children that can also grow up to become gods. Mormons believe that we are preexisting spirits that came to earth to continue the progression to become gods. When Mormons achieve that state by their own efforts and their own good works, they get their very own planet to play god in just like Father God did. This is not Christianity -- it is the demonic posing as a Christian church. Look at the fact that there is not much difference between Mormonism, Eastern religions and New Age beliefs -- it is because it all originates from the same source: it comes from the same being in the garden that told Eve if she ate the fruit of this tree, she could become like God.

So when Glenn Beck has a rally about restoring honor and returning to God, and Christian leaders unite around him as if he is our God, they are deceived. They are uniting around a forked-tongue that believes he has a higher self; and they are misleading Christians to believe Beck and Mormons are Christians.

Want to hear the truth about Beck’s own beliefs from his own mouth? According to Brannon Howse, Beck said:
“'I Am That I Am' is the most powerful phrase in any language, as it is the name of God; never use it in vain; use it to create who you want to be. I AM blank.”
You might expect to hear such nonsense from the Oprah’s of the New Age Movement that believe “The Secret” that we are gods and that we can speak our own realities into existence. Apparently Beck also believes in his higher self, because he has said so. Also, do not be surprised when the “Christian” sons of gods of the “New Apostolic Reformation” heretics flock around Beck as if he is a Christian, because with their own Dominion Theology they have much in common. The Christian dominionists and the Mormon Kingdom believers apparently will be singing kumbaya into the The Secret New Age Utopia. Only proving that gods of a feather flock together even if they fly on different broomsticks.

The real question we Christians should have is why are the mainstream Christian evangelicals yoking up with these god makers of paganism? Sure we can agree on political objectives in America, but when a Mormon is calling Christianity back to God and Christian leaders respond as if Beck is Moses, you have got to wonder? Beck gets his religious messages from the priests of Jezebel, so why have our Christian leaders checked their brains and their Christian theology at the mall?

The article by Brannon Howse says much more that Christians need to read, so I hope you will click on the link (see story above) and read the entire article. I will give you a clip, because it certainly fits the theme of this blog.

"Do you now understand the magnitude of the spiritual shift that occurred this past weekend? The millions that see nothing wrong with the messages of Beck’s 8-27 and 8-28 rallies reveal that the religious left and the religious right will be easily merged together in the coming one-world religion under the coming one-world spiritual leader as prophesied in Revelation 17:8."
Few other Christians are warning people about the beckoning of Beck that is a false pagan flag hid behind the stars and stripes. If your going to a tea party, you might watch what some leaders are pouring in your cup. If you know of Christians leaders that are beckoning others to follow Beck, you might even spout off at them. If the real Creator is not in this movement, their god is not going to save America. For more insights on Beck and his followers, read this article from Jan Markell.

Also read what Dr. R. Albert Mohler, Jr., president of The Southern Baptist Theological Seminary in Louisville, Kentucky, has to say about all this. And here is a good article by Dave Welch that should make any true Christian see that Mormons do not worship our God: Christianity versus Mormonism.

The One-World 'Green Religion' is the Root of the Future One-World Government
The Gaia Hypothesis – A Goddess Reborn
Erasing Christianity from the Minds of the Masses
One World Religion is Not Enough
Glenn Beck Is a Sell-Out, and Sarah Palin Is Playing Both Sides

September 3, 2010

GEAB: Austerity Is Already Here for the Vast Majority of U.S. Citizens

The GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB) is the confidential letter of think-tank LEAP/Europe 2020, published in partnership with the Dutch foundation GEFIRA. As such, our aim is to provide our readers with state-of-the-art analysis of geo-political anticipation centered around the study and follow-up of the global systemic crisis, itself focused on the evolution of the dollar and of the U.S. economy and their impact on international economy and financial markets, all that seen from a European perspective.

Global Systemic Crisis in the Second Half of 2010

The immediate environment of the vast majority of US citizens has not stopped worsening since 2008, whatever the statistics and Federal experts may say. The true rate of unemployment is at least between 15% and 20% and reaches 30% to 40% in the towns and regions which are the most badly affected by the crisis. The states are obliged to increase their budget cuts and to abolish all types of social services, increasing unemployment in the same stroke. In general terms, it is the local authorities and the states which, de facto, have been putting in place a policy of austerity hidden from the world for many months now, and which is accelerating.

GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin
June 16, 2010

Each day the news confirms the extent to which the global systemic crisis has now entered into the phase of global geopolitical dislocation, even if the media only timidly begin to interpret the historic upheavals which unfold before our own eyes.

For LEAP/E2020, the second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure of the international system analyzed in this GEAB issue. The general context is that which has been outlined in previous GEAB reports, that’s to say a recovery … of the world economic crisis after a temporary freeze due to stimulation measures.

But before entering into the detail of these anticipations on the unfolding of the economic and financial crisis in the second half of 2010, let’s take note that the beginning of June 2010 provides two particularly striking examples of the accelerated collapse of the global system of these past decades: one in terms of global economic governance, the other concerning the ability of the United States to control its own allies (see GEAB N°46).

Having put recent events, symptomatic of the acceleration of world geopolitical dislocation, into perspective, the four individual points of failure in the second half of 2010, according to LEAP/E2020, are as follows:

1. Western public debt: when insolvency becomes intolerable
2. European austerity: when contextual growth is abandoned in favour of structural stablility
3. Chinese inflation: when China is going to begin to export its inflation
4. US contraction: from "hidden mass austerity" to "imposed Federal austerity"

Each one will be affected by a major shock during the course of the second half of 2010, leading to a sectorial, regional or global crisis.

In this public announcement of GEAB N°46, our team chose to present its anticipation regarding the fourth single point of failure of the second half of 2010: US contraction. In the rest of this issue of the GEAB, subscribers will discover a second excerpt of the manual of political anticipation, concerned this time about the question of research teams and sources, as well as some information on the new political anticipation training cycle for 2010-2011 (only for GEAB subscribers). Finally, we give the detail of our recommendations in terms of US municipal bonds, financial markets, currencies and real estate in particular, aimed at helping face the shocks of the second half of 2010.

In terms of global economic governance, let’s remember that only a year ago the G20 aspired to establish a new world governance, and the United States believed it would be able to organize this new system around its own priorities ....

The immediate environment of the vast majority of US citizens has not stopped worsening since 2008, whatever the statistics and Federal experts may say. The true rate of unemployment is at least between 15% and 20% and reaches 30% to 40% in the towns and regions which are the most badly affected by the crisis.

Never have so many Americans been dependent on Federal Government food stamps which now contribute, to an unprecedented extent, to US households’ income. The states are also obliged to increase their budget cuts and to abolish all types of social services, increasing unemployment in the same stroke. And these events unfold whilst the impact of the Obama administration’s economic stimulation plan is deemed to be at its maximum!

There is nothing surprising in learning that household consumption is not taking off, even falling as May retail sales show; and that the real estate market continues its descent into hell. As a matter of fact, the most reliable advanced indicators show that the US economy will start to contract in the second half of this year. Far from the 3.5% growth announced by Ben Bernanke for 2010, the country will be really lucky according to our team if it records a number above zero for the current year.

Because, contrary to the statements coming out of Washington and Wall Street, austerity is already here for the vast majority of US citizens who haven’t any more work or no more homes or debts exceeding their assets, and who can no longer pay their childrens’ university fees, their outing or their holidays, without even discussing day-to-day living costs.

In addition, in numerous localities:

  • There is no longer regular rubbish collection (or else they must pay higher taxes).

  • Saturday mail deliveries have been stopped.

  • They are less well protected due to a lack of police.

  • They must queue endlessly at state and government offices following the firing of civil servants, and their children have fewer teachers in the schools which provide fewer services (canteen, school buses…).

In general terms, it is the local authorities and the states which, de facto, have been putting in place a policy of austerity hidden from the world for many months now, and which is accelerating.

State budget deficits, Fiscal year 2010 (percentage of general expenditure) - Source: Freerisk, 04/2010
State budget deficits, Fiscal year 2010 (percentage of general expenditure) - Source: Freerisk, 04/2010
It is what LEAP/E2020 calls "rampant mass austerity." It has been the main component of the real US economy and society for two years, and it is that which embodies the end of the "US consumer," which we have anticipated since the end of 2006, due to insolvency. This insolvency has steadily progressed upwards, towards players in the real estate market, towards the banks, towards car manufacturers.

And now, at the end of an economic stimulus, it affects the states, the banks once again and at last the Federal State because, following the successful media staging of the "Greek crisis," the fear of sovereign bankruptcy has led the Eurozone and the rest of the G20 to favour the re-establishment of structural balanced budgets and, then, to ban the pursuit of Western public indebtedness. But without growing public indebtedness, the US economy is condemned to suffer a major crisis because, for the last two or three decades, it has only produced one thing, debt, and that it only exports the latter. The US Dollar is nothing more than a credit letter on a fully indebted economy.

Thus, in deciding not to accede to the request of the US Treasury Secretary, Timothy Geithner, to begin a further round of debt-based economic stimulus, the G20 has condemned Washington to have to face the unthinkable for world markets: announce an era of Federal budget austerity. Irony of history, this negative step by the G20 (in letting each one do what it could, the other G20 members didn’t dare be explicit on the necessity for US austerity) is directly connected to the likely consequences of the November 2010 elections, which will see US voters deal some severe blows to the Washington system and to its two big bets (see previous GEAB issues), making such a "mental revolution" not only possible, but necessary for the Democrats and the Republicans if they want to have a chance of winning the 2010 Presidential Elections.

For our team, US domestic socio-political constraints thus meet with external economic-financial pressures during the second half of 2010, making inevitable the implementation of the first major US austerity budget plan for over sixty years combined with the sharpest rise in fiscal pressure for fifty years.

Fiscal pressure on the richest Americans (1920 – 2010) - Sources: CBO / EconIm, 05.2010
Fiscal pressure on the richest Americans (1920 – 2010) - Sources: CBO / EconIm, 05.2010
The consequences of such a revolution on the US economy, trade, world financial markets, Dollar-denominated assets (at the forefront of which are US Treasury Bonds), and the Dollar itself, are huge. We will come back to this in the recommendations section of this issue. Nevertheless, one should bear in mind that, since 1945 (and perhaps even the 1930’s), the world economy and finance has been based on the myth of an irresistible US growth engine which, whilst suffering short periods of loss of speed, remained reliable under all trials.

If the weakness of the social net has always required that the United States have strong growth in order to avoid millions of Americans being crushed by poverty, doubtless it is even worse for the world financial and monetary system which enjoys no safety net at all.

If Greek or Spanish austerity measures provoke such disorder, imagine what will come about because of US austerity which necessitates budgetary cuts of at least one trillion USD over a three to five year period.

This sort of news will provoke a radical reconsideration of the principal myth on which international markets and the economic and financial system of these last few decades were based, guaranteeing it a place at the forefront amongst the four single points of failure for the global system during the next half year.

----------
Notes:

(1) A single point of failure (SPOF) is a point in a computer network on which the whole of the IT system depends and a breakdown of which leads to the whole system coming to a stop. The main characteristic of the single point of failure is that it is not protected (redundant). There is, then, a risk to the whole system. In the definition of "Single Point of Failure," the word "Single" is the most important and underlines the unique character, and thus the fragility, of the "component." The idea of individual point of failure is directly related to that of service, in the sense that a problem affecting the point concerned causes a breakdown in service. According to LEAP/E2020, the deepening of the crisis and the passing of a further step of the global systemic crisis in the second half of 2010 will be evidence of very serious problems in terms of four separate points of failure at the core of the current international system. The consequences, as in the case to an IT system, will be a denial of service, that’s to say, major crises in the areas, regions and sectors concerned.

(2) Our readers will note that, compared to mainstream Anglo-Saxon media and those who "copy, cut and paste" them elsewhere, we haven’t summarized the coming world risks as having two causes only: Greece and the Euro. We even consider that they are no part of the single points of failure of the international system: Greece because it is on the margin and has no key-role in the system, the Euro because it has never been at risk of collapse and because, in two months, Euroland has put measures in place which for a decade it has refused to do and, moreover, of which austerity measures are a part. And it is this austerity which, according to our team, will be a part of the four points of failure of the world system.

(3) LEAP/E2020 has invested considerable effort and expense (including a full page “open letter” in the Financial Times) to underline that the G20 couldn’t be an alternative solution to the collapse of global governance inherited from the Second World War, unless a proposal for a new world reserve currency was put on the table, in order to ensure that all the G20 players would have an interest in cooperating in the medium and long term (see the GEAB reports for the first half of 2009). Well, Washington didn’t want to hear about it and the Europeans have been incapable of taking on the responsibility for proposing such a new currency, thus adding their weight to that of the Chinese, Russians, Indians and Brazilians. The result one year on: "Every man for himself" rules and Washington is no longer capable of having its proposals adopted by the G20 which, de facto, transforms itself into a meeting which increasingly fails to hide a growing state of world dissention.

(4) Source: GlobalEconomicAnalysis, 06/05/2010

(5) Source: Alphaville, 06/05/2010

(6) Last April, firings have first been in the manufacturing sector, refuting any discussion on an export and industrially led recovery. Source: Reuters, 05/21/2010

(7) The New York Times of 06/04/2010 even spoke of an air of chaos in the country.

(8) It is indeed always surprising to see the media repeatedly make headlines over a demonstration of 7,000 people in Athens with a view to show a rallying of the population against austerity measures (here is one of many examples of this sort of article on CNBC of 03/05/2010), whilst none of them mention the fact that the Governor of New York State announced a state of widespread chaos in the state due to heavy cuts in police, justice, health personnel… in a context of regular demonstrations of thousands of state workers. Source: NYDailyNews, 06/10/2010; New York Times, 06/09/2010

(9) The new $2 menus at Taco Bell clearly show the trend towards general poverty. Source: USAToday, 05/14/2010

(10) As regards unemployment, it is worthwhile consulting the list of the fifteen US companies which have fired the most employees these last few months in order to understand the suicidal logic behind their profitability. Sources: CNNMoney/Fortune, 05/13/2010; Gallup, 03/19/2010

(11) Sources: MarketWatch, 06/08/2010; CNNMoney, 06/05/2010

(12) Source: USAToday, 05/26/2010

(13) Half a dozen of them even haven’t the means any longer to repay tax credits to households and businesses and 32 states will have to borrow nearly 40 billion USD in 2010/2011 in order to pay unemployment benefit. Sources: New York Times, 06/02/2010; GlobalEconomicAnalysis, 05/21/2010

(14) The May 2010 report on the subject, published by the National League of Cities, reveals the size of the problem.

(15) These last few months, more than one million Americans have stopped looking for work given the lack of opportunities, which enables the Federal Government to produce statistics claiming a fall in the unemployment rate…. whereas fewer and fewer Americans are in work. Source: CNBC, 06/07/2010

(16) A look at the ten chart on this subject by DrHousingBubble of 06/10/2010 speaks volumes.

(17) For those who still believe that American US will happen sometime during these next quarters, it is very enlightening to read the 25 questions one should ask oneself on this subject listed by PrisonPlanet on 05/25/2010, or even consult the 20 pointers suggested by EconomicCollapse on 06/02/2010

(18) Sources: CNNMoney, 06/01/2010; SeekingAlpha, 06/11/2010; USAToday, 06/12/2010

(19) The US Postal Service only delivers mail on five days a week instead of six previously. Source: Washington Post, 03/24/2010

(20) All that is taking place in a context of a rise in numerous central banks’ interest rates such as Canada, India, Australia, Brazil… rendering the ability to sell US Treasury Bonds at a loss, as is currently happening, more and more unlikely, except by increasing the "coups" like Greece every quarter. But, in Europe, like in Asia, the country candidates for this type of "coup" are Japan, France, Italy, the United Kingdom… i.e. targets too close or too dangerous due to their ability to cause trouble.

(21) A low estimate by our team, using a reasoned comparison with other Western countries, with the defence and social programme budgets being the worst affected.

September 1, 2010

Pension Tsunami is About to Hit

22 Statistics About America’s Coming Pension Crisis That Will Make You Lose Sleep At Night

The Economic Collapse
August 2, 2010

As the first of the 80 million Baby Boomers have begun to retire, it has become increasingly apparent that the United States is facing a pension crisis of unprecedented magnitude. So yes, to say that we are facing a retirement crisis would be a tremendous understatement. There is simply no way that we can keep all of the financial promises that we have made to the Baby Boomer generation. Unfortunately, the crumbling U.S. economy simply cannot support the comfortable retirement of tens of millions of elderly Americans any longer. The truth is that we are all going to have to start fundamentally changing the way that we think about our golden years.

Once upon a time, you could count on getting a big, fat pension if you put 30 years into a job. But now pension plans everywhere are failing. State and local governments are cutting back and are raising retirement ages. A majority of Americans have even lost faith in the Social Security system, which was supposed to be the most secure of them all.

The reality is that we are moving into a time when there is not going to be such a thing as "financial security" as we have known it in the past. Things have fundamentally changed, and we are all going to have to struggle to stay above water in the economic nightmare that is coming.

Part of the reason we have such a gigantic economic mess on the way is because we have promised vastly more than we can deliver to future retirees. When you closely examine the numbers, it quickly becomes clear that a financial tsunami is about to hit us that is going to be so devastating that it will change everything that we know about retirement.

The following are 22 statistics about America's coming pension crisis that will make you lose sleep at night...

Private Pension Plans And Retirement Funds

1 - One recent study found that America's 100 largest corporate pension plans were underfunded by $217 billion at the end of 2008.

2 - Approximately half of all workers in the United States have less than $2000 saved up for retirement.

3 - According to one recent survey, 36 percent of Americans say that they don't contribute anything at all to retirement savings.

4 - The Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation says that the number of pensions at risk inside failing companies more than tripled during the recession.

5 - According to another recent survey, 24% of U.S. workers admit that they have postponed their planned retirement age at least once during the past year.

State And Local Government Pensions

6- Pension consultant Girard Miller recently told California's Little Hoover Commission that state and local government bodies in the state of California have $325 billion in combined unfunded pension liabilities. When you break that down, it comes to $22,000 for every single working adult in California.

7 - According to a recent report from Stanford University, California's three biggest pension funds are as much as $500 billion short of meeting future retiree benefit obligations.

8 - In New Jersey, the governor has proposed not making the state's entire $3 billion contribution to its pension funds because of the state's $11 billion budget deficit.

9 - It has been reported that the $33.7 billion Illinois Teachers Retirement System is 61% underfunded and is on the verge of total collapse.

10 - The state of Illinois recently raised its retirement age to 67 and capped the salary on which public pensions are figured.

11 - The state of Virginia is requiring employees to pay into the state pension fund for the first time ever.

12 - In New York City, annual pension contributions have increased sixfold in the past decade alone and are now so large that they would be able to finance entire new police and fire departments.

13- Robert Novy-Marx of the University of Chicago and Joshua D. Rauh of Northwestern's Kellogg School of Management recently calculated the combined pension liability for all 50 U.S. states. What they found was that the 50 states are collectively facing $5.17 trillion in pension obligations, but they only have $1.94 trillion set aside in state pension funds. That is a difference of 3.2 trillion dollars.

Social Security

14 - According to one recently conducted poll, 6 out of every 10 non-retirees in the United States believe that the Social Security system will not be able to pay them benefits when they stop working.

15 - A very large percentage of the federal budget is made up of entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare that cannot be reduced without a change in the law. Approximately 57 percent of Barack Obama's 3.8 trillion dollar budget for 2011 consists of direct payments to individual Americans or is money that is spent on their behalf.

16 - 35% of Americans over the age of 65 rely almost entirely on Social Security payments alone.

17 - According to the Congressional Budget Office, the Social Security system will pay out more in benefits than it receives in payroll taxes in 2010. That was not supposed to happen until at least 2016. The Social Security deficits are projected to get increasingly worse in the years ahead.

18 - 56 percent of current retirees believe that the U.S. government will eventually cut their Social Security benefits.

19 - In 1950, each retiree's Social Security benefit was paid for by 16 U.S. workers. In 2010, each retiree's Social Security benefit is paid for by approximately 3.3 U.S. workers. By 2025, it is projected that there will be approximately two U.S. workers for each retiree.

20 - The shortfall in entitlement programs in the years ahead is mind blowing. The present value of projected scheduled benefits surpasses earmarked revenues for entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare by about 46 trillion dollars over the next 75 years.

21 - According to a recent U.S. government report, soaring interest costs on the U.S. national debt plus rapidly escalating spending on entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare will absorb approximately 92 cents of every single dollar of federal revenue by the year 2019. That is before a single dollar is spent on anything else.

22 - Right now, interest on the U.S. national debt and spending on entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare is somewhere in the neighborhood of 15 percent of GDP. By 2080, those combined expenditures are projected to eat up approximately 50 percent of GDP.

FDIC Playing With Fire by Soliciting State Pension Money to Buy Toxic Assets

The FDIC's New Policy of Soliciting State Pension Plans to Pour Hard Cash into Purchases of Failed Bank Assets Takes Shape

CentristNet
March 27, 2010

The Federal Deposit Insurance Company (“FDIC”) has recently initiated a risky new policy: soliciting and facilitating public pension fund purchases of failed bank assets that are presently on the FDIC’s balance sheet after seizure.

Apparently, the FDIC’s fund is deep into the red (over $20 billion), and a decision has been made to tap the two trillion dollars in public pension funds around America to take “toxic assets” off the FDIC books and replenish the FDIC’s fund, thereby relieving the pressure on the FDIC . Bloomberg reports:

March 8 (Bloomberg) — The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is trying to encourage public retirement funds that control more than $2 trillion to buy all or part of failed lenders, taking a more direct role in propping up the banking system, said people briefed on the matter.

Direct investments may allow funds such as those in Oregon, New Jersey and California to cut fees for private-equity managers, and the agency to get better prices for distressed assets, the people said. They declined to be identified because talks with regulators are confidential.

Pension funds, of course, are designed to provide funds for workers as they retire and such funds are capitalized by withholding from worker paychecks, and in the case of public pension funds, from government worker paychecks.

The first state pension fund to actually pour money into FDIC-held failed bank assets pursuant to the FDIC’s solicitations could be the State of Oregon, ponying up $100 million in perhaps the first deal of many to come. Jay Fewel, a senior investment officer at the Oregon State Treasury, confirmed that bank regulators are looking for “the support of state pension funds to solve the crisis surrounding ongoing bank failures”. The Oregonian explains the familiar “get rich quick” sales pitch being served up by the FDIC and investment bankers looking to leverage state pension fund money:

In a deal being pitched as a home-run investment opportunity for the state pension fund, Oregon’s public pensioners may be about to buy stakes in several of the 700 troubled banks around the country that are wallowing in bad loans.

The citizen’s council that oversees the Oregon Public Employees Retirement Fund gave its approval last week — subject to final fee negotiations — to invest $100 million in a bank holding company being organized by Sageview Capital, whose partners bring deep experience in the world of leveraged buyouts.

According to a presentation to the Oregon Investment Council by Harrison and Sageview partner Scott Stuart, the FDIC is so anxious to recapitalize troubled banks that it is willing to cover 80 to 95 percent of buyers’ loan losses as well as the costs incurred in restructuring loans.

That’s a potentially lucrative deal for discount bidders who can clean up problem loans and get the bank into growth mode before selling it. Stuart suggested that it wasn’t unrealistic to think Oregon could double its money over several years.

“The government is handing out free money,” enthused council member Dick Solomon, a Portland accountant. “Maybe we should get in line.”
So a “desperate” FDIC is facilitating a private equity firm’s solicitation of Oregon state pension fund money to purchase failed bank assets off of the FDIC’s books. Oregon may be the first in a long line of state pension funds who jump at chance to get in on the FDIC action as the “government is handing out free money.” Such sentiments are almost certainly unrealistic, and fantasy claims that a state pension fund “could double its money over several years” could be relied upon by state pension funds, like Oregon’s, New Jersey’s and California’s, to justify pouring massive portions of the hard cash under their control into FDIC-solicited failed bank asset purchases.

Apparently the FDIC likes the idea of selling failed bank assets off to state pension funds because such government pension funds have a “longer [time] horizon” and won’t be concerned about losses in the next decade or so:

Private-equity managed funds typically promise they’ll return funds to their investors in about 10 years. Pension funds are aiming to fund retirements that are decades away and thus can hold on to investments longer, which would help ease the FDIC’s concern, said one of the people.

FDIC guarantees may soften the risk of investing public pension money in distressed banks, Whalen said. When the FDIC sells a failed bank, it typically shares a portion of the loan losses.

“Financially sophisticated people do not assume that banks have recognized all of their real estate losses,” Kramer said, adding that it can still be a bad deal if a buyer overpays for a deposit franchise or if loans perform worse than expected. “We are in the early innings for commercial real estate.”

It appears that the FDIC is trying to avoid selling to private-only funds, who are looking at a 10-year investment window, and instead sell to public pensions, which “are aiming to fund retirements that are decades away and thus can hold on to investments longer, which would help ease the FDIC’s concern.”

Reading between the lines, it appears that the FDIC knows it cannot sell certain failed bank assets to private equity funds because such private firms won’t buy at the higher prices the FDIC wants, as the 10-year return on investment is unattractive to private investors.

State pension funds, however, are great because they don’t care about a 10-year return; instead, they’re only worried about “decades away” valuation and accordingly can be solicited to buy some of the FDIC’s failed bank assets at higher prices than private-only funds.

This conduct by the FDIC is quite risky to the solvency of public pension funds as even the failed bank assets already marked down on the FDIC books now could fall further if the commercial real estate market deteriorates further, which some see as likely in 2010 and beyond. Indeed, the entire new policy of the FDIC to solicit government pension fund money into the risky proposition of buying up failed bank assets could be seen as attempting to tap into the “equity” of the United States ($2 trillion in public pension funds) to cover bad debt that no one else will buy.

Zero Hedge is also concerned about this possible new trend in FDIC solicitation of public pension money:
My thoughts on public pension funds investing in failed banks? I think any way they do it, it’s a recipe for disaster. I can just see the private equity sharks raising funds to bid on failed banks. And even if pension funds take direct control of these failed banks, do they really know what’s lurking on their books and how to operate a bank? I shudder to think at what will happen to these investments if we enter a protracted period of weakness in commercial real estate.
Another independent expert, Chris Whalen, managing director of Institutional Risk Analytics of Torrance, California, sees unnecessary risk for state pension funds in any FDIC purchase deal. Regarding failed bank assets, Whalen notes that:
“If they are really interested in playing this area, they should put their money into a larger bank that’s already playing here,” Whalen said. “If you look at the risk-reward and the distraction involved, it’s not worth it” to back a new bank, he said.
Another financial expert, Richard Suttmeier, points out that a reasonable solution to the FDIC fund shortfall is to use repaid TARP funds from the big banks to replenish the fund. The problem of finding hard cash to purchase “toxic assets” that remain after a bank’s failure continues to lurk in the background as the elephant in the room.

Sadly, voices of reason like Whalen’s and Suttmeier’s will probably be drowned out by exuberant claims of “free money” and “double its money” from the private hedge fund managers looking for state pension fund clients, and from the FDIC in its desperation to find new sources of hard cash to take those infamous “toxic assets” off of the FDIC’s hands.

One can only hope that FDIC’s momentous decision to tap the $2 trillion in state pension fund money to buy up toxic assets will garner some public attention and debate as the implications for millions of state and local workers could reverberate for years to come.

Government Plans to Take Your 401-k

By Steve Pearce
May 12, 2010

All taxpayers should know the federal government is broke. When governments are broke they look to your assets. They are now looking to take your 401-k and your private retirement accounts. During my time in Congress, I heard rumblings like that, but always from the most extreme members on the left. Now, it is being proposed for real.

Republicans Sound Alarm on Administration Plan to Seize 401(k)s
By Connie Hair
May 4, 2010

In February, the White House released its “Annual Report on the Middle Class” containing new regulations favored by Big Labor including a bailout of critically underfunded union pension plans through “retirement security” options.

The radical solution most favored by Big Labor is the seizure of private 401(k) plans for government disbursement -- which lets them off the hook for their collapsing retirement scheme. And, of course, the Obama administration is eager to accommodate their buddies.

Vice President Joe Biden floated the idea, called “Guaranteed Retirement Accounts” (GRAs), in the February “Middle Class” report.

In conjunction with the report’s release, the Obama administration jointly issued through the Departments of Labor and Treasury a “Request for Information” regarding the “annuitization” of 401(k) plans through “Lifetime Income Options” in the form of a notice to the public of proposed issuance of rules and regulations.

House Republican Leader John Boehner (Ohio) and a group of House Republicans are mounting an effort to fight back.

The American people have become painfully aware over the past year that elections sometimes have calamitous consequences. Republicans lack the votes (for now) to reign in the Obama administration’s myriad nationalization plans for everything from health care to the automobile industry.

Now the backdoor bulls-eye is on your 401(k) plan and the trillions of dollars the government would control through seizure, regulation and federal disbursement of mandatory retirement accounts.

Boehner and the group are sounding the alarm, warning bureaucrats to keep their hands off of America’s private retirement plans.

Just when you thought it was safe to come up for air after the government takeover of health care.

* * * * * * *

The entirety of the House GOP Savings Recovery Group letter outing the issue that was sent last night to the Labor and Treasury secretaries:

The Honorable Hilda L. Solis, Secretary
U.S. Department of Labor
200 Constitution Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20210

The Honorable Timothy Geithner, Secretary
U.S. Department of the Treasury
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW
Washington, DC 20210

Dear Secretaries Solis and Geithner:

As members of the Republican Savings Solutions Group, we write today to express our strong opposition to any proposal to eliminate or federalize private-sector defined contribution pension plans, such as 401(k)s, or impose burdensome new requirements upon the businesses, large and small, who choose to offer these plans to their employees.

In the Annual Report of the White House Task Force on the Middle Class, Vice President Biden discussed at length the creation of so-called “Guaranteed Retirement Accounts, (GRAs)” which would provide for protection from “inflation and market risk” and potentially “guarantee a specified real return above the rate of inflation” -- presumably at taxpayer expense. In the Report, the Vice President recommended “further study of these issues.”

The Vice President’s comments are troubling, insofar as they come on the heels of testimony before Congress from supporters of GRAs proposing to eliminate the favorable tax treatment currently afforded to 401(k) plans, and instead use those dollars to fund government-invested GRAs into which all employees would be required to contribute a portion of their salary -- again, with a government subsidy. These advocates would, essentially, dismantle the present private-sector 401(k) system, replacing it instead with a government-run investment plan, the size and scope of which remain to be seen. This despite data showing that 90 percent of households have a favorable opinion of the existing 401(k)/IRA system.

In light of these facts, we write today to express our opposition in the strongest terms to any effort to “nationalize” the private 401(k) system, or any proposal that would dismantle or disfavor the private 401(k) system in favor of a government-run retirement security regime.

Similarly, and more recently, the Departments of Labor and Treasury have jointly issued a “Request for Information” regarding the “annuitization” of 401(k) plans through “Lifetime Income Options.” While we appreciate the Departments’ seeking guidance and information from all parties and stakeholders in advance of regulatory activity, we strongly urge that the Departments not proceed with any regulation in this area before they have carefully and thoroughly considered all of the information received.

More specifically, we urge that the Departments take no action to mandate that plan sponsors -- often, small businesses -- include a “lifetime income” or “annuitization” option if they choose to offer a 401(k) plan to their employees, or that beneficiaries take some or all of their retirement savings in such an option. Data shows that 70 percent of Americans oppose the concept of a mandated annuity or government payout of their 401(k) plan. On a more fundamental level, Congress should not be in the business of choosing “winners” and “losers” among retirement security stakeholders. Instead, we urge the Departments to make it easier for employers to include retirement income solutions in their savings plans and to help workers learn more about the value of their retirement savings as a source of retirement income.

Finally, to the extent new mandates and bureaucratic red tape from Washington push small employers out of the business of offering these plans to their employees, we would submit such an effort weakens, rather than strengthens retirement security.

We appreciate your consideration of our views in these important matters and stand ready to work with you and the Administration to promote secure and adequate retirement savings for all Americans.

Sincerely,
House Republican Leader John Boehner (R-OH)
Rep. John Kline (R-MN)
Rep. Dave Camp (R-MI)
Rep. Sam Johnson (R-TX)
Rep. Dean Heller (R-NV)
Rep. Brett Guthrie (R-KY)
Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-MN)
Rep. Pat Tiberi (R-OH)
Rep. Bob Latta (R-OH)
Rep. Erik Paulsen (R-MN)
Rep. Lynn Jenkins (R-KS)
Rep. Ed Royce (R-CA)
Rep. Buck McKeon (R-CA)
________________________________________
Connie Hair is a freelance writer, a former speechwriter for Rep. Trent Franks (R-AZ) and a former media and coalitions advisor to the Senate Republican Conference.

Go to The Lamb Slain Home Page