Showing posts with label Food Supply/Famine/Global Cooling. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Food Supply/Famine/Global Cooling. Show all posts

August 10, 2011

Elite Private Equity Firms are Buying Farmland to Control the Food Supply

Hunger results when people are not allowed to participate in a food system of their choosing. Fair methods of land distribution must be considered -- a fair and just food system depends on small holder farmers having access to land. The function of a just farming system is to insure that everyone gets to eat; in contrast, an industrial agriculture functions to insure that corporations controlling the system make a profit.

Food shortages are seldom about a lack of food -- there is plenty of food in the world -- the shortages occur because of the inability to get food where it is needed and the inability of the hungry to afford it. Unable to afford the grain, the hungry depend on the government to distribute food. Apparently that's not going so well. Not everyone living in a poor country goes hungry; those with money eat.
Poverty and inequality cause hunger -- a higher value should be placed on people than on corporate profit.

The framework of international trade and the rules imposed by the International Monetary Fund and World Bank on developing countries, place emphasis on crops for export, not crops for feeding a hungry population. The greatest portion of the world's diet still relies on crops and farming systems developed and cultivated by the indigenous for centuries. The best hope for ending hunger lies with local, traditional, farmer controlled agricultural production, not high tech industrial agriculture.

Civil wars, structural adjustment policies, inadequate distribution systems, international commodity speculation, and corporate control of food from seed to table -- these are the causes of hunger, the stimulus for food crises.

Being Like Soros in Buying Farm Land Lets Investors Reap 16% Annual Gains

“Con­trol oil and you con­trol nations; con­trol food and you con­trol the peo­ple.“
–Henry Kissinger

Bloomberg
August 10, 2011

Perry Vieth baled hay on a neighbor’s farm in Wisconsin for two summers during high school in 1972 and 1973. The grueling labor left him with no doubt about getting a college degree so that he’d never have to work as hard again for a paycheck. Thirty-eight years later, and after a career as a securities lawyer and fixed-income trader, Vieth is back on the farm.

Except, now, he owns it. As co-founder of Ceres Partners LLC, a Granger, Indiana-based investment firm, Vieth oversees 61 farms valued at $63.3 million in Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Tennessee. He’s so enthusiastic about the investments that he quit a job in 2008 overseeing $7 billion in fixed-income assets at PanAgora Asset Management Inc., a Boston-based quantitative money management firm, to focus full time on farming, Bloomberg Markets magazine reports in its September issue.

On a spring afternoon, Vieth, 54, barrels along backcountry roads in a Jeep Cherokee in Indiana and Michigan to scout a fruit orchard and corn and soybean farms to buy. Rural towns with names such as Three Rivers pass by in a blur, separated by a wide horizon of fields with young crops popping up.

“When I told people I was leaving to start an investment fund in farmland, they said, ‘You’re doing what?’” says Vieth, in a red polo golf shirt and khakis. “It will always be difficult for Wall Street firms to understand. It’s not like buying stocks on a computer.”

It’s much better: Returns from farmland have trounced those of equities. Ceres Partners produced an average annual gain of 16.4 percent after fees from January 2008, just after the firm started, through June of this year, Vieth says.

George Soros

The bulk of the returns are in rent payments from tenant farmers who grow and sell the crops and from land appreciation. The Standard & Poor’s GSCI Agriculture Index of eight raw materials gained 5.3 percent annually over the same period, and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) dropped almost 1 percent.

Investors are pouring into farmland in the U.S. and parts of Europe, Latin America and Africa as global food prices soar. A fund controlled by George Soros, the billionaire hedge-fund manager, owns 23.4 percent of South American farmland venture Adecoagro SA.

Hedge funds Ospraie Management LLC and Passport Capital LLC as well as Harvard University’s endowment are also betting on farming. TIAA-CREF, the $466 billion financial services giant, has $2 billion invested in some 600,000 acres (240,000 hectares) of farmland in Australia, Brazil and North America and wants to double the size of its investment.

Jim Rogers
“I have frequently told people that one of the best investments in the world will be farmland,” says Jim Rogers, 68, chairman of Singapore-based Rogers Holdings, who predicted the start of the global commodities rally in 1996. “You’ve got to buy in a place where it rains, and you have to have a farmer who knows what he’s doing. If you can do that, you will make a double whammy because the crops are becoming more valuable.”

The growth in demand for food, spurred by the rising middle classes in China, India and other emerging markets, shows no signs of abating. Food prices in June, as measured by a United Nations index of 55 food commodities, were just slightly below their peak in February. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization said in a June report that it expects food costs to remain high through 2012.

So many investors have rushed to capitalize on food prices in the past three years that they may be creating a farmland bubble. The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, which covers Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska and other agricultural states, said in May that farmland prices had surged 20 percent in the first quarter compared with a year earlier.

Safe Haven

“Yes, farmland will be a bubble again; all agricultural products will be in a bubble again,” says Rogers, who is an investor in Agrifirma Brazil Ltd., a South American farmland owner.

Hedge-fund manager Stephen Diggle calls farming the ultimate safe haven. Diggle began buying farms with his own money in 2008 after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. (LEHMQ) filed for bankruptcy in September of that year and the S&P 500 plunged 43 percent in the next six months. He purchased 8,000 acres in Uruguay, three smaller plots in southern Illinois and an 80-acre New Zealand kiwi-and-avocado orchard.

“We really thought all the investment banks would go under,” says Diggle, who as a hedge-fund manager uses options and warrants to bet on price swings in the market. “Everyone said, ‘Buy gold.’ But at the end of the day, you can’t eat it. If everything else goes and I just have these farms, it makes me moderately wealthy.”

‘Prosperous China’

The hedge fund Diggle co-founded, Artradis Fund Management Pte in Singapore, suffered about $700 million in losses. He closed it in March and opened another Singapore-based hedge fund, Vulpes Investment Management Pte. Diggle plans to incorporate his five farms into an investment management group run by Vulpes.

From his vantage point in Asia, where the British expatriate has worked for the past two decades, Diggle says he’s witnessed aspiring locals eating their way up the food chain.

“You can see what a more prosperous China will consume,” Diggle, 47, says. “It means more dairy, more meat -- not just pork and chicken.”

Investors find in farmland a respite from the cyclical price swings of the commodities market. Since 1970, there have been at least four price jumps of at least 100 percent that were followed by steep declines in the S&P agriculture commodities index. By contrast, the average value of an acre of farmland tracked by the U.S. Department of Agriculture has been on a mostly steady climb from $737 in 1980 to $2,350 in 2011.

Leaving BlackRock

“Farmland is the lowest-risk part of the value chain, but it’s also a key part of production,” says Jose Minaya, TIAA- CREF’s head of natural resources and infrastructure investments.

In the U.K., where farm prices are also rising, one money manager traded his career at BlackRock Inc. (BLK) for one in farming. Graham Birch, 51, left in 2009 as the London-based head of the natural resources team at BlackRock, the world’s biggest asset manager, to run his two dairy, wheat and barley farms in southwest England full time.

Birch, who says farming has suffered from a lack of investment and management talent, has spent $1 million on improvements. He now captures all of the effluent from his 600- cow herd, stores it in a 4 million-liter (1-million-gallon) steel tank and uses it as fertilizer for his crops.

“At heart, I am basically a businessman, and I want to try to apply the things I learned over the years to see what I could do,” Birch says.

Wall Street Roots

Ceres Partners’ Wall Street roots are evident in the firm’s makeshift office in an old clapboard farmhouse that sits in the middle of cropland. Lucite tombstones resting on a shelf in a small room mark deals done by Brandon Zick, a former vice president of strategic acquisitions at Morgan Stanley (MS)’s investment management unit. Vieth hired Zick in January to help analyze and manage farm purchases.

Vieth, a 1982 graduate of the University of Notre Dame Law School, began his career as a securities and corporate lawyer before moving to the pits of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, where he traded S&P 500 options. After a series of stints running an arbitrage team for Fuji Securities Inc. and other firms, he was hired as chief investment officer of fixed income at PanAgora, the quant firm, in 1999.

By about 2006, Vieth’s concerns about the economy were mounting: Inflation was at a low, and the dollar had peaked as U.S. debt and deficits soared. So he searched for an asset class that would benefit from a currency decline and rising prices. His research led him to farms, since a falling dollar boosts U.S. crop exports.

Falling Dollar

Vieth then connected with Paul Blum, a fellow Notre Dame alumnus who spent some of his youth on a farm in upstate New York and today acts as Ceres’s point person with tenant farmers.

As the dollar fell 24 percent against the euro from January 2006 through May 2008, the pair started buying land as personal investments until the business grew too big for Vieth to manage during evenings and weekends. So, in late 2007, he founded Ceres, just as tightening credit markets began to push the global economy into a recession.

He named the firm Ceres for both the Roman goddess of agriculture and a bar he frequented during his trading days in Chicago.

“I was more convinced hard assets were where you wanted to be, and farmland was the best investment I could identify,” Vieth says.
By May 2011, he had collected 17,238 acres, mostly in the Midwest.

Shade and Rocks

When Vieth wants land, he goes shopping, as he does with Zick and Blum under a partly cloudy southern Michigan sky in May. Armed with aerial and soil maps, they look for farms with predictable rainfall, mineral-rich land and good drainage. They avoid land that slopes too much, which could lead to soil erosion.

The trio drive by a 337-acre farm for sale by a bank, and Vieth frowns at the slant of the land and the trees that line the perimeter.

“Those trees will shade the corn and stunt growth,” he says.
Blum doesn’t like the many rocks scattered on the unplanted dirt. Zick is skeptical that the bank will get its asking price of $7,000 an acre in a foreclosure sale.

The investors next visit a farmer they hired, Ed Kerlikowske Jr., who grows watermelon, peas and corn on their 782-acre spread near Berrien Springs, Michigan. Kerlikowske. For farmers such as Kerlikowske, the entry of outside investors frees up money for new equipment that they would otherwise have to spend on land.

“To really grow the business in today’s economy, you need partners,” Kerlikowske says as he passes around slices of fresh watermelon.

Possible Bubble

The farm-investing boom is making lots of people happy, but could it all end in tears? The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which regulates banks that lend to farmers, has examined whether investors may be pumping up prices and creating the conditions for a crash like the one that devastated the market in the 1980s, resulting in the failure of 300 farm banks.

In March, then-FDIC Chairman Sheila Bair devoted a symposium to the topic in Washington with the participation of economists, bankers and agricultural experts.

“If there is a bubble in farmland prices, I hope the bulk of any correction is borne by investors such as hedge funds and not by the banking industry,” William Isaac, chairman of the FDIC during the farm banking bust and now senior managing director of FTI Consulting Inc. (FCN) said during the event.

Overpaying

Charles McNairy, whose family has been involved in agriculture since 1871, says neophyte investors who lack a deep understanding of farming are making bad deals. In 2009, McNairy started U.S. Farming Realty Trust LP, a fund based in Kinston, North Carolina, that had raised $261 million as of late May to buy farms, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission filing.

McNairy says funds such as Ceres have been overpaying for land, based on the return from crops.

“Ceres shouldn’t be buying in the Midwest,” says McNairy, who declined to disclose the states he invests in. “It’s crazy to be buying up there.”

Vieth disagrees, saying Ceres’s returns prove that his strategy is working.

“I certainly don’t want to start slinging mud, but I don’t know what the heck he’s talking about.”

Greyson Colvin, who started farming fund Colvin & Co. LLP in Anoka, Minnesota, in 2009, dismisses the idea of an overheated market.

“After the housing bubble, people are a little too quick to assign the word bubble these days,” says Colvin, whose two funds and separately managed accounts hold 2,300 acres of farmland in Iowa, Minnesota and South Dakota valued at more than $10 million.

Head Winds

Colvin, a former analyst at UBS AG (UBSN) and Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN), says U.S. farmers aren’t carrying as much debt as they did during the 1980s crisis, which contributed to the downfall of banks as agriculture loans defaulted. The farm debt-to-asset ratio, which peaked in 1985 at 23 percent, is expected to fall to 10.7 percent in 2011, according to Agriculture Department estimates.

Vieth’s farm funds are facing head winds in coming months and years: A likely rise in interest rates will push up his acquisition costs and the value of the dollar, which in turn might hurt commodity exports. While the former trader keeps a close eye on the dollar, he says farming will continue to thrive.

Investors seem to agree. At a dining-room table in the farmhouse in Granger, Vieth sits down at his computer one evening and totals the day’s haul: another $900,000 from investors looking for comfort -- and profits -- in one of the oldest and most essential industries on the planet.

Control the Food and You Control the People

By Trase, Serenity Acres Now
July 8, 2011

Politi­cians and war­mon­gers know it. Activists who go on hunger strikes know it. Con­trol­ling food is an effec­tive means to manip­u­late peo­ple. In wartime, aggres­sors attempt to cut off their ene­mies sup­ply lines — starve out the enemy and per­haps they’ll sim­ply surrender.

Well, there is a more sur­rep­ti­tious war going on within our own coun­try, and it con­cerns our food. Who are the aggres­sors? Multi-billion dol­lar cor­po­ra­tions in col­lu­sion with gov­ern­ment agen­cies where they have eas­ily man­aged to place toad­ies who insure that pol­icy favors their true mas­ters.

Watch doc­u­men­taries like Food Inc, The Future of Food, Far­maged­don; read books from Michael Pol­lan, Joel Salatin, and Mar­ion Nes­tle and you’ll see spe­cific exam­ples of how this has hap­pened and con­tin­ues to shape food pol­icy in our nation.

Do you want the same com­pany that brought us DDT and Agent Orange decid­ing what kind of food should be avail­able to you and your fam­ily? Well, too bad if you don’t, because they already are. Mon­santo and other mega cor­po­ra­tions have a tight grip on the FDA and USDA, many of our leg­is­la­tures, and the agri­cul­tural depart­ments of many of the land-grant universities.

It is ter­ri­bly over­whelm­ing for those of us who have edu­cated our­selves about many of the issues with genetic mod­i­fi­ca­tion of our food to know how to fight back. After all, most of us sim­ply do not have the fund­ing that these mega cor­po­ra­tions do.

Mon­santo, for instance, has a team of ex-military com­man­dos as who patrol the coun­try to inspect farm­ers and then enforce the company’s will. Because they have well-placed offi­cials guard­ing their inter­ests with the gov­ern­ment, such as the FDA’s Michael Tay­lor (for­mer chief lob­by­ist for Mon­santo) they are able to get away with atroc­i­ties against small farm­ers, and ulti­mately, all of us.

Mon­santo has mod­i­fied their seeds so that they are depen­dent upon their her­bi­cide Round-Up to grow, and so that the seeds ter­mi­nate after one gen­er­a­tion. You must go back to Mon­santo year after year to get more seed, and can­not save seed. Even if you do, it won’t grow prop­erly. But the seed is only neutered in that regard — it will, in fact, infect neigh­bor­ing fields with its genetic mate­r­ial, so that those “friendly inspec­tors” I men­tioned ear­lier can show up on a farm and accuse them of patent infringe­ment.

Many fam­ily farms have been hurt because of this tac­tic. And it is, make no mis­take, a strat­egy on their part. After all, it insures their growth — like the 77% increase in prof­its reported recently in the Wall Street Jour­nal. That funds a huge legal depart­ment that is aggres­sive in its pur­suit of any­one who does not kneel before Mon­santo, which fan­cies itself a sort of feu­dal lord.

So what do we do?

Well, what we can do best — act locally. Grow some of your own food. Buy heir­loom seeds (http://rareseeds.com/, http://www.seedsavers.org/, http://sustainableseedco.com/) and plant them, even if you can only do con­tainer gar­den­ing on a bal­cony. And save the new seeds cre­ated when you grow those veg­eta­bles, fruits, and herbs. Share them. Pro­tect them. They are under attack.

So, what hap­pens when you do just that, and your local gov­ern­ment decides to pun­ish you for it? “That would never hap­pen,” you say, “why would any munic­i­pal­ity get upset over one of its cit­i­zens try­ing to do some­thing pos­i­tive in the community?”

Well, that’s what the city of Oak Park, Michi­gan is doing. There is a res­i­dent fam­ily who have cho­sen to plant a veg­etable gar­den, instead of wast­ing their front lawn on grass. And now they are fac­ing court action and pos­si­ble jail time for dar­ing to reject hav­ing grass lawn. You know, the stuff that let’s face it, is not sus­tain­able, and its his­tory isn’t exactly some­thing to be cel­e­brated. As the book Food Not Lawns points out:

French aris­to­crats pop­u­lar­ized the idea of the green, grassy lawns in the eigh­teenth cen­tury when they planted the agri­cul­tural fields around their estates to grass to send the mes­sage that they had more land than they needed and could there­fore afford to waste some. Mean­while French peas­ants starved for lack of avail­able farm­land, and the result­ing frus­tra­tion might well have had some­thing to do with the French Rev­o­lu­tion in 1789. (p. 12)”

These days, in the U.S., the roles have reversed some­what. We “peas­ants” are encour­aged to grow lawns and let the “aris­to­crats” grow the food, because the lead­ers must have learned some­thing from the French Rev­o­lu­tion — it’s bet­ter for them to con­trol our food under lock and key while keep­ing the peas­ants mol­li­fied with other dis­trac­tions.

Also, so long as the aris­to­crats are in charge of food, why not make changes to it that will cre­ate even more depen­dence, like con­trol­ling seed avail­abil­ity and dis­tri­b­u­tion so that it is only given to those who bow before the mas­ters who hold the seeds year after year?

But — there is hope. The sit­u­a­tion in Oak Park is one that local folk can fight face-to-face. Maybe the offi­cials in Oak Park don’t see the big­ger pic­ture, and pro­vid­ing them with infor­ma­tion that helps them to see that they are really not pur­su­ing what can be described as the best inter­ests of their cit­i­zenry will change their minds. I mean, let’s face it, grow­ing up in the age of the “Lit­tle Houses” that Malv­ina Reynolds wrote about, it is easy to sim­ply not think for one’s self about why you wouldn’t want to have a grass lawn, but the world in which that idea of sub­ur­bia was cre­ated no longer exists.

Food short­ages are already occur­ring, and pre­dic­tions are that they will only get worse. We are deal­ing with oil short­ages, whether real or man­u­fac­tured — but what’s the dif­fer­ence when your gaso­line costs $4+ a gal­lon? That means it’s more expen­sive to go and get food from the store, as well as the cost of the food hav­ing gone up because of the petro­leum prod­ucts that went into grow­ing, pack­ag­ing, and trans­port­ing it. Peo­ple have been espe­cially hard-hit by unem­ploy­ment in Michi­gan, and while there are “improved” num­bers, most peo­ple aren’t deal­ing with a sur­plus of income these days, so their food bud­gets are tight. I know ours is!

So why in the world would local offi­cials want to dis­cour­age local gar­dens? Surely they rec­og­nize the issues described in the pre­vi­ous para­graph, in addi­tion to the weak­nesses within the cor­po­rate food sys­tem — and if they do not, then it is their respon­si­bil­ity to edu­cate them­selves in order to best serve their cit­i­zens. How can they respon­si­bly sug­gest that they have the author­ity to deter­mine food pol­icy in their com­mu­nity if they don’t pos­sess the knowl­edge to make edu­cated deci­sions about it?

Let’s not allow our right — or that of any­one else– to grow our own food be eroded. Speak up. Fight back. Let’s not for­get what Thomas Jef­fer­son said: “All author­ity belongs to the peo­ple.” This truly is OUR LAND. Let’s not for­get that, friends.

The Food Crisis is Not About a Shortage of Food

CommonDreams.org
October 1, 2010

The food crisis of 2008 never really ended, it was ignored and forgotten. The rich and powerful are well fed; they had no food crisis, no shortage; so in the West, it was little more than a short lived sound bite, tragic but forgettable.

To the poor in the developing world, whose ability to afford food is no better now than in 2008, the hunger continues.

Hunger can have many contributing factors: natural disaster, discrimination, war, poor infrastructure.

So why, regardless of the situation, is high tech agriculture always assumed to be the only the solution? This premise is put forward and supported by those who would benefit financially if their “solution” were implemented. Corporations peddle their high technology genetically-engineered seed and chemical packages, their genetically-altered animals, always with the “promise” of feeding the world.

Politicians and philanthropists, who may mean well, jump on the high technology band wagon. Could the promise of financial support or investment return fuel their apparent compassion?

The Alliance for a Green Revolution in Africa (AGRA), an initiative of the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and the Rockefeller Foundation, supposedly works to achieve a food secure and prosperous Africa. While these sentiments and goals may be philanthropy at its best, some of the coalition partners have a different agenda.

One of the key players in AGRA, Monsanto, hopes to spread its genetically-engineered seed throughout Africa by promising better yields, drought resistance, an end to hunger, etc. etc. Could a New Green Revolution succeed where the original Green Revolution had failed? Or was the whole concept of a Green Revolution a pig in a poke to begin with?

Monsanto giving free seed to poor small holder farmers sounds great, or are they just setting the hook? Remember, next year those farmers will have to buy their seed. Interesting to note that the Gates Foundation purchased $23.1 million worth of Monsanto stock in the second quarter of 2010. Do they also see the food crisis in Africa as a potential to turn a nice profit? Every corporation has one overriding interest -- self-interest, but surely not charitable foundations?

Food shortages are seldom about a lack of food -- there is plenty of food in the world -- the shortages occur because of the inability to get food where it is needed and the inability of the hungry to afford it. These two problems are principally caused by, as Francis Moore Lappe' put it, a lack of justice. There are also ethical considerations: a higher value should be placed on people than on corporate profit; this must be at the forefront, not an afterthought.

In 2008 there were shortages of food in some places, for some people. There was never a shortage of food in 2008 on a global basis, nor is there currently. True, some countries, in Africa for example, do not have enough food where it is needed, yet people with money have their fill no matter where they live. Poverty and inequality cause hunger.

The current food riots in Mozambique were a result of increased wheat prices on the world market. The UN Food and Agriculture organization (FAO) estimates the world is on course to the third largest wheat harvest in history, so increasing wheat prices were not caused by actual shortages, but rather by speculation on the price of wheat in the international market.

While millions of people go hungry in India, thousands of kilos of grain rot in storage. Unable to afford the grain, the hungry depend on the government to distribute food. Apparently that's not going so well.

Not everyone living in a poor country goes hungry; those with money eat. Not everyone living in a rich country is well fed; those without money go hungry. We in the US are said to have the safest and most abundant food supply in the world; yet even here, surrounded by an over abundance of food, there are plenty of hungry people and their numbers are growing. Do we too have a food crisis concurrent with an obesity crisis?

Why is there widespread hunger? Is food a right? Is profit taking through speculation that drives food prices out of the reach of the poor a right? Is pushing high technology agriculture on an entire continent at that could feed itself a (corporate) right?

In developing countries, those with hunger and poor food distribution, the small farmers, most of whom are women, have little say in agricultural policy. The framework of international trade and the rules imposed by the International Monetary Fund and World Bank on developing countries, places emphasis on crops for export, not crops for feeding a hungry population.

Despite what we hope are the best intentions of the Gates Foundation, a New Green Revolution based on genetically engineered crops, imported fertilizer and government imposed agricultural policy will not feed the world. Women, not Monsanto, feed most of the world's population; and the greatest portion of the world's diet still relies on crops and farming systems developed and cultivated by the indigenous for centuries, systems that still work, systems that offer real promise.

The report of 400 experts from around the world, The International Assessment of Agricultural Science and Technology for Development (IAASTD), is ignored by the proponents of a New Green Revolution, precisely because it shows that the best hope for ending hunger lies with local, traditional, farmer controlled agricultural production, not high tech industrial agriculture.

To feed the world, fair methods of land distribution must be considered. A fair and just food system depends on small holder farmers having access to land. The function of a just farming system is to insure that everyone gets to eat; industrial agriculture functions to insure those corporations controlling the system make a profit.

The ultimate cause of hunger is not a lack of Western agricultural technology; rather, hunger results when people are not allowed to participate in a food system of their choosing. Civil wars, structural adjustment policies, inadequate distribution systems, international commodity speculation, and corporate control of food from seed to table -- these are the causes of hunger, the stimulus for food crises.

If the Gates Foundation is serious about ending hunger in Africa, they need to read the IAASTD report, not Monsanto's quarterly profit report. Then they can decide how their money might best be spent.

Fifty Million Farmers Had Land Stolen by the Chinese Regime

The Epoch Times
August 14, 2011

Between 40 and 50 million Chinese farmers have lost their farmland since Deng Xiaoping’s economic reforms began in the late 1970s, according to a recent report from the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS). The number is increasing at a rate of three million farmers per year, and will reach 110 million around 2030.

The report, titled, China Urban Development Report of 2011 and published by the Institute for Urban and Environmental Studies of CASS, states that large areas of farmland have been and are being expropriated as China’s industrialization and urbanization accelerates.

According to the directive “national land use planning” published by the Ministry of Land and Resources in October 2008, from 2000 to 2030, over 8.6 million acres of farmland will be expropriated and over 100 million farmers will lose their land.

The report also states that, while farmland is being lost, there is a serious trend of urban land being insufficiently utilized. According to the “national land use planning” directive, there are about 657,000 acres of unused land in China. This leads to the conclusion that the scale of land expropriation is greater than the actual need.

Regarding the farmers who lost their farmland, the official news website Red Net of Hunan Province reported a survey of 132 households on the issue on March 29. It stated that 97 percent of farmers are not satisfied with the compensation. The standard compensation rate to the farmer for commercial land use is about US$20,000 to US$35,000 per acre. But this farmland is often situated in a newly developed urban area, which could fetch over 10 times its current value.

The Director of the State Council’s Development Research Center, Han Jun, said in 2003 that since the start of economic reforms until 2003, the Chinese regime has taken US$312.8 billion from farmers by expropriating farmland at a low price and then reselling it at a high price.

The Red Net survey also stated that 85.61 percent of farmers do not have any kind of social security and insurance and that only 12 percent have medical insurance. When asked what they fear the most, 15.91 percent said not having medical insurance, 27.27 percent said retirement insurance and 75 percent feared unemployment.

The farmers who lost their land have no stable jobs and income. After losing their ownership, rights to use and derive an income from their farmland, they have no financial security.

Xu Zhiyong, a faculty member at the Beijing Post and Telecommunications University, told China Youth Daily:
“The dispute arising from farmland expropriation is not a regional problem. It exists in almost every big and small city, county and township.”
According to statistics given in the CASS report, among the farmers who appeal to higher authorities for help, 60 percent of the appeals are related to the farmland, and 30 percent are related to land expropriation.

Among farmers who lost their land, 60 percent of them said that they are in a state of economic hardship, and 81 percent are worried about their future livelihoods.

According to a random sample of 2,942 farmers who lost their land, the National Bureau of Statistics of China found that there are only 2.7 percent who received employment after expropriation; 24.8 percent went out to look for work on their own; 27.3 percent have opened a small business; and 20 percent stays at home, unemployed.

Sometimes, those who have had their land taken from them have responded violently.

In May a series of explosions hit Fuzhou City, Jiangxi Province, after Qian Mingqi, 52, failed to obtain redress for land that was expropriated but for which he was never properly compensated. After a decade of unsuccessfully attempting to get proper compensation (he says his losses were up to two million yuan, or around US$300,000), he set up a Sina Weibo account documenting his final thoughts, and proceeded to make fertilizer bombs. He said that he was left with no choice.
“I wanted to take genuine action to get rid of the bad guys for the people,” Qian said.
He was killed in one of the blasts.

In other cases people have climbed atop their house roofs and set themselves on fire. In yet other cases people have used violence against the gangs of thugs that are hired by local officials to carry out the eviction and demolition work that is often involved in land expropriation.

Read the original Chinese article.

U.S. Government is Flooding Farmland, Which May Leave It Damaged for Years and, in Turn Would Allow Private Equity Firms to Snatch It Up for Pennies on the Dollar

The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers intentionally breached the levee at Birds Point, resulting in the flooding of thousands of acres of Missouri prime farmland as well as damage and destruction to homes and buildings. "Farmers in the affected area will not only lose this year's crop, but have a long-term cleanup and restoration project if they hope to return their land to production, and we fear much of the flooded land might never be able to recover to its prior productivity," Hurst said. "Farm Bureau will do everything possible to ensure the farmers are compensated and receive all the help available to restore their farmland to productivity. It is vital the government rebuilds the levee as soon as possible, and cuts through red tape to get the compensation and help to those affected by this disaster immediately." - Farm Bureau seeks compensation for flooded farmland, May 22, 2011

Arizona Daily Star
May 6, 2011
Blasting open a levee and submerging more than 200 square miles of Missouri farmland has likely gouged away fertile topsoil, deposited mountains of debris and may even hamper farming in some places for years, experts say.

This week's explosions to ease the Mississippi River flooding threatening the town of Cairo, Ill., appear to have succeeded -- but their effect on the farmland, where wheat, corn and soybeans are grown, could take months or even years to become clear. The Missouri Farm Bureau said the damage will likely exceed $100 million for this year alone.

"Where the breach is, water just roars through and scours the ground. It's like pouring water in a sand pile. There is that deep crevice that's created," said John Hawkins, a spokesman for the Illinois Farm Bureau. "For some farmers, it could take a generation to recoup that area."

The issue is vital to farmers and the state of Missouri, whose attorney general repeatedly tried to block the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers' plan to break the levee. Opponents of the move argued it would leave the farmland buried under feet of sand and silt, rendering it useless for years.

It's still not clear how much damage the intentional flooding will cause and how farmers will be compensated for losses to the land and roughly 100 houses scattered through the area. Experts said the extent of the damage can't be accurately assessed until the floodwaters recede, and that likely will take months.

The river level itself is going to have to fall from its high flood stage before the water covering the fields can even begin to drain, said Jim Pogue, a corps spokesman. That could take a significant amount of time, he said.

"This is the greatest flood we've seen since 1937. We're tying records, breaking records, all down the river," Pogue said. "This is likely to be once-in-a-lifetime event."

Codex Alimentarius – How the Global Elite Will Control Your Food Supply

“If you are not suspicious of a large group of elite bankers/corporate giants/politicians who ultimately want to control the world's food and money supply than you are already under their (mind) control. Things are bad enough now, but if they manage to have their way with this, it will be nothing short of total enslavement.” - fredface, February 7, 2009


By Robert Singer, The Truth of the Fight

The Codex Alimentarius Commission (CAC), based in Rome, Italy is an international organization jointly created in 1962 by the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) and the World Health Organization (WHO) of the United Nations “allegedly” to protect the health of consumers with guidelines for food standards.

Codex Alimentarius may present the greatest disaster for our food supply and thus our health this country has ever seen, and if not stopped is likely to be implemented in 2011.

The Codex and its regulations affecting our food sovereignty go back to 1962. Fortunately in 1994 Congress passed the Dietary Supplements Health and Education Act (DSHEA) which for the moment preserved the definition of vitamins, minerals and herbs as foods.

Genetically Modified Organisms (GMOs) and the “World According to Monsanto,” should be required viewing and are related to the Codex. In the U.S. and in the Codex, GMO’s do not require labeling making in impossible to know what you are eating.

Without congressional oversight the U.S. will move towards the policies of Canada and Mexico where supplements are considered drugs, not foods. Codex if implemented will reverse DSHEA and the U.S. will no longer treat dietary supplements as foods, but as toxins.

For 18 years Norway, Switzerland, Russia, Japan, the European Union and most African countries have fought the U.S. unsuccessfully to require labeling of GMOs. The U.S. erroneously considers GMOs equal to non-GMOs based solely on a 1992 Executive Order from then Skull and Bones president George H. Bush.

The Codex will be enforced by the barrel of a gun.

The FDA will use their power to outlaw more than raw almonds and tryptophan. In Ohio a food co-op was raided Gestapo style by the USDA because they sold a dozen eggs to an aggressive undercover agent “without a business license.”

Is the FDA looking out for consumers … unlikely.

Half of the 198 new drugs the FDA approved from 1976 to 1985 had to be withdrawn or relabeled because they caused unexpected side effects. Predictably, no one at the FDA withdrew Donald Rumsfeld’s Aspartame sold under the trade names Equal and NutraSweet. Aspartame is a deadly carcinogen made from the feces of e coli bacteria that we can’t avoid because it’s an additive in just about every food we eat.

The story gets even more interesting when you find out NAZI Germany’s notorious I.G. Farben cartel is behind Codex and the proposals that would drastically curtail our health care freedoms.

Catherine Bertini, the head of the UN food programs in 1995, paraphrased the famous Kissinger statement,

“Food is power. We use it to change behavior.”

Is this the first time you have heard of “Codex Alimentarius?” That’s not unusual because Codex is an “open secret.” The information is available if you want to look for it but the corporate controlled media isn’t going to tell you about it until its already too late.

Monsanto, Big Pharma, Chema and Agra have convinced most companies “Codex is a non-issue,” and that they will actually gain market share when Codex is implemented.

So who is raising awareness about this issue?

John C. Hammell of International Advocates for Health Freedom and Ian Crane an ex oil field executive. Ian lectures and writes on U.S. Hegemony and the NWO agenda for control of Global Resources. Mr Crane says,

“After spending the past twelve months investigating Codex Alimentarius, I am deeply disturbed by the almost total lack of awareness (or even interest) with regard to the implications of this pernicious global Commission, particularly amongst those most affected by the excesses of this restrictive legislation.”

The general lack of public awareness is well illustrated by the low traffic volume visiting his website.

Ian warns of the “pernicious” effects legislation will have believing “without a shadow of a doubt” there is a plot by major food and pharmaceutical companies to see that the Codex proposals become international law.

Codex is laying siege to our freedom of choice, let’s stop it.

Normally I don’t recommend those take action campaigns. But Codex Alemintarius is different.

The inconvenient truth for our elected representatives, their families and staff is they have to eat and take vitamins and supplements… just like us. So go ahead and email, fax and phone. This is one email campaign that might just work.

It’s going to come down to a massive rebellion.

The DSHEA law that kept the FDA off our backs was passed because millions and millions of letters were sent to people in Congress demanding health freedom. International Advocates for Health Freedom website has a “take action” page.

Think buying organic will help you? Well, not as much as you think, because the U.S. currently allows for up to 10% of GMO contamination of organic foods (the highest of any country in the world, most permit 0.1%).

You can make a difference by support local self sustaining farmers who refuse to use GMO seeds. And of course start a garden and grow your own food.

Because guess what? …..They can’t stop us from growing our own food.

For more information on Codex Alimentarius and the Food Safety Modernization Act, click here.

January 9, 2011

The Bill and Melinda Gates (of Hell) Foundation

Bill Gates' mission to protect poorer populations from disease through mass vaccination, his sense of urgency that the global population is too large and needs to be reduced, and his deep financial and collaborative enterprises with the oligarchic elite, health agencies and multilateral organizations — with a past history of eugenic intentions and experimentation — make for a bizarre mix that raises serious questions about the truth behind his Foundation's motives. Nobody should doubt the eugenic agenda remains alive and well in America. In fact, behind the closed corridors among the global elite, it is gaining fuel. For these people, sacrificing poor people in the developing world on the altar of a distorted Manifest Destiny, and setting their own rules in modern technologies — vaccines and GMO seeds — with the potential to destroy every unborn child, is simply racism and bigotry. - Richard Gale & Gary Null, Death By Vaccination: The Gates Foundation and the New Eugenics, Progressive Radio Network, September 22, 2010

LOOK WHO  CAME TO DINNER
The World's Richest Give Billions to Remake the World in Their Image: In May 2009, the two richest men in America, Bill Gates and Warren Buffett, organized and presided over a confidential dinner meeting of billionaires in New York City. The hosts and guests who arrived on May 5 certainly had enough economic tickets to be there: a combined net worth of maybe $130 billion. The crowd at the inaugural event added up to a list that would make any charity — or any conspiracy theorist — swoon. Left to right: Bill Gates, Oprah Winfrey, Warren Buffett, Eli and Edythe Broad, Ted Turner, David Rockefeller, Chuck Feeney, Michael Bloomberg, George Soros, Julian Robertson, John and Tashia Morgridge, Pete Peterson

"There is an evil which I have seen under the sun, and it is common among men: a man to whom God hath given riches, wealth, and honour, so that he wanteth nothing for his soul of all that he desireth, yet God giveth him not power to eat thereof, but a stranger eateth it: this is vanity, and it is an evil disease." - Ecclesiastes 6:1-2

"There is a sore evil which I have seen under the sun, namely, riches kept for the owners thereof to their hurt. But those riches perish by evil travail: and he begetteth a son, and there is nothing in his hand. As he came forth of his mother's womb, naked shall he return to go as he came, and shall take nothing of his labour, which he may carry away in his hand." - Ecclesiastes 5:13-15

"And He began to teach them, that the Son of man must suffer many things, and be rejected of the elders, and of the chief priests, and scribes, and be killed, and after three days rise again. And He spake that saying openly. And Peter took Him, and began to rebuke Him. But when He had turned about and looked on His disciples, He rebuked Peter, saying, 'Get thee behind me, Satan: for thou savourest not the things that be of God, but the things that be of men.' And when he had called the people unto Him with His disciples also, He said unto them, 'Whosoever will come after me, let him deny himself, and take up his cross, and follow me. For whosoever will save his life shall lose it; but whosoever shall lose his life for my sake and the gospel's, the same shall save it. For what shall it profit a man, if he shall gain the whole world, and lose his own soul? Or what shall a man give in exchange for his soul? Whosoever therefore shall be ashamed of me and of my words in this adulterous and sinful generation; of him also shall the Son of man be ashamed, when He cometh in the glory of His Father with the holy angels'." - Mark 8:31-38

"Beloved, believe not every spirit, but try the spirits whether they are of God: because many false prophets are gone out into the world." - 1 John 4:1

The (Bill) Gates of Hell Foundation

Bill Gates and other elitists claim that their plans will reduce global poverty. And they will, but not in the way they would have you believe. The elitists plan to reduce global poverty by eliminating the poor in the world through vaccines, control of the global food supply, GMOs, control over growing your own food, control of vitamins and herbal supplements, control of clean water, control of health care, and control of cheap forms of energy. If you think this won't affect you, just remember that the gap between rich and poor is growing rapidly until one day soon there will be only the rich and the poor, and you will be the next target for elimination. The power elite want to reduce the world's population down to 500 million — chances are, you're not one of their chosen few.  

By Zen Gardner, www.zengardner.com
January 4, 2011

Why mince words when the planet's being destroyed and we're all being systematically murdered?

When it finally dawns on you what these New World Order elite globalists are up to it can be staggering. And it can't be more in your face than it is right now.

We have chemtrails continually 'playing' on the world's biggest screen, our skies--horrific displays of absolute disregard for all things living. And yet the majority doesn't even see them and there's total silence about it from authorities and the media.

Flocks of birds are falling from the sky and millions of dead fish are washing up on our shores, and they all act dumb, like they have no idea what the hell is going on.

The Gulf of Mexico has been killed, the vital loop current disrupted, the weather shot to hell, the food and water are deliberately poisoned and altered, and then they screw with the stratosphere and magnetosphere with a host of devilish devices.

Never mind the deliberately trashed economy and the fabricated 'war on terror' while the police state clampdown continues.

And we're not supposed to notice?..or think this is deliberate destruction of our world?

Enter the Two-man Wrecking Crew

And so they trot out a "friendly, respectable face" for this deliberate destruction and depopulation, hoping we won't notice the havoc being wreaked in front of our eyes, all the while making us think they're doing us a favor and 'pioneering our future'.

..And with a message straight from the Bilderbergers which seems to say..

'It's time to step up the depopulation plan.'

So good, so clean, so 'successful', so giving..........Right.

Bill and Melinda Gates Tapped To Be 'The Friendly Face of Eugenics"
As F. William Engdahl in Financial Sense wrote:
Microsoft founder and one of the world’s wealthiest men, Bill
Gates, projects an image of a benign philanthropist using his billions via his (tax exempt) Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, to tackle diseases, solve food shortages in Africa and alleviate poverty. In a recent conference in California, Gates reveals a less public agenda of his philanthropy—population reduction, otherwise known as eugenics.
Gates made his remarks to the invitation-only Long Beach, California TED2010 Conference, in a speech titled, “Innovating to Zero!” Along with the scientifically absurd proposition of reducing man-made CO2 emissions worldwide to zero by 2050, approximately four and a half minutes into the talk, Gates declares,
First we got population. The world today has 6.8 billion people. That’s headed up to about 9 billion. Now if we do a really great job on new vaccines, health care, reproductive health services, we lower that by perhaps 10 or 15 percent.”

Hard to Believe?

Watch this short clip for yourself if you haven't seen it yet, as he builds false premise upon false premise, like they all do as if we're stone cold idiots, and then he gives his chilling solution on how to "Innovate to Zero"...


The Decade of Death

By the way, they've set a goal for their vaccine program they love so much. Is this a signal to their own?

Bill and Melinda Gates Pledge $10 Billion in Call for Decade of Vaccines

DAVOS, Switzerland -- Bill and Melinda Gates announced today that their foundation will commit $10 billion over the next 10 years to help research, develop and deliver vaccines for the world’s poorest countries.
...said Melinda Gates,
“We’ve made vaccines our number-one priority at the Gates Foundation because we’ve seen firsthand their incredible impact on children’s lives.”
(Source)
"Incredible impact", alright.

And Not Just Vaccines, Folks...

Besides vaccines, the Gates are funding 10 different projects researching new contraception methods, including their latest that involves sterilizing men by putting ultrasound on their testes. (Nice one, Bill. Hope you're trying it out nightly.)

But more importantly, the Gates of Hell also fund two other major thrusts towards the destruction of earth's eco-system and the extermination of its inhabitants: geoengineering (chemtrails et al), and genetically modified organisms or GMOs.

'Bill Gates's Hidden Dreams of Geoengineering Revealed'

http://www.lightwatcher.com/chemtrails/geoengineering.jpg

Bill Gates has already proven his interest in geoengineering schemes with his earlier co-patent filing for reducing the intensity of killer hurricanes. So perhaps we're not too surprised that Science Insider has dug up the Microsoft chairman's past projects on altering the Earth's climate, ranging from filtering carbon dioxide to reflecting sunlight via brighter clouds. (Source)

And...

'Gates Foundation Funded Approval of Genetically Modified Mosquitos'


Bill Gates, who recently bought 500,000 shares of Monsanto stock, is reportedly funding the approval of genetically modified mosquitoes. It seems that not only will genetically modified salmon enter the environment along with unforeseen changes, but a new self-sterilizing mosquito may be joining them.
The plan, concocted by United Nations’ Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, involves creating genetically modified mosquitoes that either kill or sterilize themselves.The United Nations’ aim is to combat Dengue fever through the genetic manipulation of nature.
As with other genetically modified organisms, the long-term repercussions are widely unknown, and introducing a genetically modified creature into the environment may make for the genetic coding of an entire species to be altered.

(Source)

http://laudyms.files.wordpress.com/2010/07/monsanto2.jpg

The Monsanto Connection

Besides funding and profiting tax free from this horrific company, there's an 'image problem' there too for which they're trying to use Bilderbergers Bill and Melinda.
The immediate impact of these partnerships is to enhance the public image of Gene Giants that are donating royalty-free genes to needy farmers. But the longer-term goal is to create the “enabling environments” (biosafety regulations, intellectual property laws, positive media coverage to promote public acceptance) that will support the market introduction of genetically-engineered crops and related technologies. It’s a package deal — wrapped in a philanthropic façade — and it comes with strings attached…(Source)
http://cdn0.mattters.com/photos/photos/2630699/Screen-shot-2010-06-21-at-9.23.34-AM.png

Meet 'Kill Bill'--enhancing the public image of death and depopulation

The Elite Call to Arms?

For those of you 'awake and aware' to what's going on, that the world's self-appointed 'elite' are planning a great 'culling of the herd' comes as no surprise. What's remarkable is how blatant they've become about the subject.

This possibly denotes two things:
  1. They feel comfortable with how well they've programmed and entranced most of society to accept such nonsense as global warming and carbon footprints, never mind the mythical 'war on terror' and a host of other lies.
  2. They're signaling to their own the program's ratcheting up.

And the Bill and Melinda Gates (of Hell) Foundation is the new poster child and sanitizing ploy. But while every effort is being made to give the Gates Foundation a benign, philanthropic appearance, their primary program is clearly population reduction, just wrapped in brighter elitist "do gooder" package. "Awwwww. Look how they're giving back and leading these new technologies..." Right...just wait and see. But they're throwing everything at it. And telling the others it's time to throw in as well.

"A Time to Give, Brethren"

President Barack Obama met with Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Chairman Warren Buffett and Microsoft Corp. co-founder Bill Gates this morning at the White House to discuss the economy and the billionaires’ philanthropic endeavors, an administration official said.
Obama called for the Oval Office meeting, which also included Gates’ wife, Melinda, to discuss the Giving Pledge project, started by Buffett and Gates to encourage wealthy U.S. individuals and families to give most of their fortunes to charity, the administration official said, speaking on condition of anonymity. (Source)
Why not. The old money will soon be worthless when we go through the 'transition' they have planned for us. "Use it for a good cause men. We're gonna make the earth our own private country club!"

Other Signs

Still wondering? Why do you suppose they just locked up supplies of all the world's natural seeds in an underground vault in Norway, but are busy altering the genetic make up of the seeds WE'RE supposed to eat?

Think about that.

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2008/02/photogalleries/seedvault-pictures/images/primary/1_SEEDVAULT_461.jpg

Norway seed vault

And why are they feverishly burrowing their monstrous underground cites while trashing the environment on the surface of the earth? Oh, you don't know about that? Or don't believe it or "they woulda told us"? Please, pull your head out.

http://www.wired.com/images_blogs/photos/uncategorized/2007/05/23/noraddoor.jpg

Are they preparing to board their underground 'arks'?

Yeah, it's ugly stuff to hear about. Would you rather just let the train run over you and I and others not say anything?

Sorry to say, this isn't theory, it's fact. Read up on "depopulation" and "eugenics" and you'll find this has been their MO for centuries, periodically "culling the herd" with wars and epidemics, gutted economies and famines, all while keeping the world in one form of social slavery or another. It's nothing new. It's just that the expanding rate of humanity is accelerating at such a rate, our numbers frighten them and they want all those resources for themselves.

Have you noticed they tend to hoard slightly? The Rothschilds alone are worth an estimated 500 trillion dollars..with a 'T'. The queen of England and the Vatican could bail out AND support half the world.
They're not real big on sharing if you haven't noticed, yet they make you feel guilty for devouring the earth's resources.

Why believe anything they say?

Useless Eaters

The Herd

This is how they view us. We're now chillingly referred to as "human resources". Spot your social 'security' number?

Epilogue

Bill Gates is one of many eugenicists, but he's channeling gobs of money and a lot of perceived clout, and apparently they think he has the image to pull this off.

That global warming and the other scams still have such traction is hard to believe, but that's the image the media is portraying. And people are swallowing it, I'm sorry to say, and will likely sit back and watch our demise and blame themselves for it. A neighbor mentioned the weird yesterday and added, "Do you think it's God's way of punishing us for what we've done to the planet?"

I know. Lunacy. It's endemic.

The manipulated masses have been so dumbed down and indoctrinated, if the adulterated planet doesn't kill them, they will practically volunteer for death to reduce their carbon footprint. That's the cumulative effect and logical deduction you could arrive at. And it's all by design.

It's amazing to behold. People get all snotty about their energy saving Prius or recycling efforts, while joining hands and singing kumbaya with benign exterminator Bill and his conniving ilk over 'the woes of global warming and human swarming'. Little do they know what their "final solution" really is.

This mass mind manipulation of guilt and lies is the drumbeat of the elites, while we swallow their planet destroying programs and march into the chemtrail sunset trying to eliminate our carbon footprints.
Only one way to do that.....

lemmings.jpg

How manipulated are you?

Stay conscious. They're spraying hard, closing down on our food supply, and more fabricated troubles are on their way. Keep your loved ones close and spread the word to the hungry.
Love, Zen

2010 World Population Data Sheet

Population Reference Bureau
July 28, 2010

Many countries are facing a shrinking pool of their working-age populations, often considered to be ages 15 to 64, to support the population ages 65+, jeopardizing pension guarantees and long-term health care programs for the elderly.

Worldwide in 1950, there were 12 persons of working age for every person age 65 or older. By 2010, that number had shrunk to 9. By 2050, this elderly support ratio, which indicates levels of potential social support available for the elderly, is projected to drop to 4.

The Population Reference Bureau's 2010 World Population Data Sheet and its summary report offer detailed information on 19 population, health, and environment indicators for more than 200 countries.
"There are two major trends in world population today," says Bill Butz, PRB's president. "On the one hand, chronically low birth rates in developed countries are beginning to challenge the health and financial security of their elderly. On the other, the developing countries are adding over 80 million to the population every year and the poorest of those countries are adding 20 million, exacerbating poverty and threatening the environment."
Global population rose to 6.9 billion in 2010, with nearly all of that growth in the world's developing countries. In contrast, the world's developed countries, totaling 1.2 billion people, saw their populations continue to age as the numbers of those of working age dwindle. For example, Japan has a total fertility rate of 1.4 children per woman, and an elderly support ratio of 3—the lowest in the world, along with Germany and Italy. By 2050, Japan will have only 1 working-age adult for every elderly person; Germany and Italy will each have 2.
"In 2011, world population will reach 7 billion, just 12 years after reaching 6 billion," says Carl Haub, PRB's senior demographer and author of this year's data sheet. "It also took 12 years to climb from 5 billion to 6 billion. The big question now is when will we reach 8 billion? Most likely in 2024, 13 years after the seventh billion, but it could be sooner."
The 2010 World Population Data Sheet shows the contrasts between developing and developed countries. Comparing Ethiopia and Germany illustrates how stark the contrasts can be (see table). Even though Ethiopia and Germany have almost the same population size today, Ethiopia is projected to more than double its population from 85 million today to 174 million in 2050. Germany's population will likely decline from 82 million to 72 million over that same time. The cause of these enormous differences is lifetime births per woman. Ethiopia's total fertility rate of 5.4 is four times greater than Germany's rate of 1.3.

Key Demographic Indicators, 2010

Germany Ethiopia
Population mid-2010 82 million 85 million
Population 2050 (projected) 72 million 174 million
Percent of population below age 15 14% 44%
Percent of population ages 65+ 20% 3%
Elderly support ratio (2010) 3 17
Elderly support ratio (2050) 2 11
Lifetime births per woman 1.3 5.4
Annual births 650,000 3.3 million
Annual deaths 840,000 1 million
Life expectancy at birth 80 years 55 years
Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 3.5 77
Annual infant deaths 2,250 250,000

Other Highlights From the 2010 World Population Data Sheet

  • The worldwide recession appears to have caused declines in birth rates in some developed countries, such as Spain and the United States; and slowed down increases where birth rates had begun to rise, such as in Norway and Russia.

  • Africa's population is projected to double to 2 billion by 2050, although this growth could be greater if birth rates do not decrease faster than currently. Africa's total fertility rate is 4.7 children per woman.

  • Worldwide, 40 percent of the population, or more than 2.7 billion people, lack access to an adequate sanitation facility. The bulk of the underserved live in rural areas of developing countries. Only 40 percent of people in rural areas in these countries have access to sanitation.

  • As the U.S. population ages, spending on entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare will rise sharply. Total spending on these two programs is projected to increase from today's level of 8.4 percent of GDP to 12.5 percent in 2030.

How Many People Are Born and How Many People Die Every Minute?

According to the CIA World Factbook, as of July 2005, there were approximately 6,446,131,400 people on the planet, and the death rate was approximately 8.78 deaths per 1,000 people a year. According to our nifty desktop calculator, that works out to roughly 56,597,034 people leaving us every year. Still, more people are being born than dying. The population growth rate is hovering around 1.14%, which doesn't seem like much, but last year that was (back to the calculator!) 73,485,898 more mouths to feed. - How many people die each year worldwide?, Yahoo! Answers - November 28, 2005

Wiki Answers
July 28, 2010

According to the Population Reference Bureau's "2010 World Population Data Sheet" (see story above), 4.45 people are born every second worldwide, on the average, and 1.8 people die every second.

Another way to look at it is:
  • Per minute: 267 born, 108 die, (net population increase: 159)

  • Per day: 384 thousand born, 156 thousand die, (net increase 229 thousand)

  • Per year: 140.4 million born, 56.7 million die, (net increase 83.6 million)
Many nations are looking at a shrinking number of worker populations (ages 15-64), putting at risk pensions and long-term health programs.

In 2010, the world's total population rose to 6.9 billion people. Almost 50% of the increase is in developing countries. Comparing two countries, such as Germany and Ethiopia highlights the issue. They both have approximately the same number of people today; however, Ethiopia is currently expected to see its 85 million grow to 174 million by 2050. Germany's population is expected to shrink to 72 million (from about 82 million) over the same time frame. The reason for these big contrast is lifetime births per woman. Ethiopia's fertility rate of 5.4 is 400% more than Germany's 1.3.

Other interesting highlights of the report:
  • The global economic recession seems to be causing reduced birth rates in some developed countries, such as the U.S. and Spain-- and decelerated growths where birth rates had climbed (e.g. Russia, Norway).

  • Africa's population is on a path to doubling by the year 2050 to 2,000,000,000 people, although this number might even be higher, if birth rates do not decrease more quickly. Africa's current fertility rate per woman is 4.7 children.

  • Worldwide, 40% (2,700,000,000), do not have a suitable sanitation facility, most of whom reside in rural parts of developing nations.

Population Research Presents a Sobering Prognosis

The New York Times
July 29, 2010

With 267 people being born every minute and 108 dying, the world’s population will top seven billion next year, a research group projects, while the ratio of working-age adults to support the elderly in developed countries declines precipitously because of lower birthrates and longer life spans.

In a sobering assessment of those two trends, William P. Butz, president of the Population Reference Bureau, said that “chronically low birthrates in developed countries are beginning to challenge the health and financial security of the elderly” at the same time that “developing countries are adding over 80 million to the population each year and the poorest of those countries are adding 20 million, exacerbating poverty and threatening the environment.”

Projections, especially over decades, are vulnerable to changes in immigration, retirement ages, birthrates, health care and other variables, but in releasing the bureau’s 2010 population data sheet, Carl Haub, its senior demographer, estimated this week that by 2050 the planet will be home to more than nine billion people.

Even with a decline in birthrates in less developed countries from 6 children per woman in 1950 to 2.5 today (and to 2 children or less in Brazil, Chile, Cuba, Iran, Thailand and Turkey), the population of Africa is projected to at least double by midcentury to 2.1 billion. Asia will add an additional 1.3 billion.

While the United States, Australia, Canada and New Zealand will continue to grow because of higher birthrates and immigration, Europe, Japan and South Korea will shrink (although the recession reduced birthrates in the United States and Spain and slowed rising birthrates in Russia and Norway).

In Japan, the population of working-age people, typically defined as those 15 to 64, compared with the population 65 and older that is dependent on this younger group, is projected to decline to a ratio of one to one, from the current three to one. Worldwide, the ratio of working age people for every person in the older age group is expected to decline to four to one, from nine to one now.

Earlier this week, Eurostat, the statistical arm of the 27-nation European Union, reported that while the union’s population topped a half billion this year, 900,000 of the 1.4 million growth from the year before resulted from immigration. Eurostat has predicted that deaths will outpace births in five years, a trend that has already occurred in Bulgaria, Latvia and Hungary.

While the bulge in younger people, if they are educated, presents a potential “demographic dividend” for countries like Bangladesh and Brazil, the shrinking proportion of working-age people elsewhere may place a strain on governments and lead them to raise retirement ages and to encourage alternative job opportunities for older workers.

Even in the United States, the proportion of the gross domestic product spent on Social Security and Medicare is projected to rise to 14.5 percent in 2050, from 8.4 percent this year.

The Population Reference Bureau said that by 2050, Russia and Japan would be bumped from the 10 most populous countries by Ethiopia and the Democratic Republic of Congo.

What If the Largest Countries Had the Biggest Populations?

Strange Maps' Frank Jacobs sets the stage:
What if the world were rearranged so that the inhabitants of the country with the largest population would move to the country with the largest area? And the second-largest population would migrate to the second-largest country, and so on?
Here's the result:



Oddly enough, the people of four countries wouldn't have to pull up stakes and move if the world was reorganized this way: Brazil, Ireland, the United States and Yemen.

Related:
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